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zeynep tufekci
"Perhaps the only good amateur epidemiologist."—NYT. prof. Words in and . Writes newsletter: .
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zeynep tufekci 7h
Replying to @JAGoods
I didn't like the original headline. We don't really know what's going on is the current truth. No doubt a good deal of the spread is socializing. What proportion? Don't know. Nobody does. Contact tracing is overwhelmed by the scale of the surge. So, this:
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zeynep tufekci 7h
Replying to @ludditery @bendreyfuss
(Only responding because I was tagged. The stealth-editing probably confused a lot of people late to it but I think that's less worse than leaving it as it was).
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zeynep tufekci 7h
Replying to @ludditery @bendreyfuss
The piece was substantially edited after the reaction. He doesn't have a bubble, but it was good to illustrate that. (Though kept calling it a bubble!). But the original had few precautions and phrasing that essentially said my huge network is careful and my family is worth it.
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zeynep tufekci 12h
Replying to @Azuregris
🙏
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zeynep tufekci 15h
🧀 cc:
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zeynep tufekci retweeted
Insight by Zeynep 17h
Here's some harm-reduction advice for people who are travelling or gathering for Thanksgiving. It's best to heed CDC advice and not meet with people outside your household. But if people will anyway, they should still do whatever they can to reduce risk.
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zeynep tufekci 18h
Yeah it's nuts.
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zeynep tufekci 19h
Ben's was also the first newsletter I subscribed to, along with 's excellent one. Part of the reason for my own newslettering (verb now?) is that I sometimes want to respond to something Ben's written and long-form>twitter thread. :-D
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zeynep tufekci 19h
If the heat is trapped so is the air WTF
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zeynep tufekci 19h
This is excellent, but I'd have added the key role of culture and cultural inertia to the analysis. I may well respond to this in my own substack. *insert meta-ironic comment something something*
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Replying to @jekatsos @insight
Thank you!
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Yeah. So close. Feels absolutely like an inflection point—probably just a few months away. And yet...
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Thank you!
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zeynep tufekci retweeted
Dani Rodrik Nov 22
What Trump showed him, says ⁦⁩, that he doesn’t understand America after all. For me it’s the other way around. I didn’t understand America before, and now it feels familiar. I come from Turkey.
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Replying to @WesPegden @j_g_allen
I don’t think any ecological study is enough. As I said I did not read the MMWR but knew original study/data which actually works against mask efficacy as a setup.
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Replying to @WesPegden @j_g_allen
I’m personally not a fan if ecological studies. Have written that many times. We have mechanisms—as we do for many other things. But in this case the confounding looks like the other way: the spike before and the rising in separate places all push in the opposite direction.
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Replying to @pursuitofPH
Thank you!
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Replying to @WesPegden @j_g_allen
I actually hadn't looked at the MMWR at all. I knew of the study from before, and the chart you posted is the one that I had seen which suggests it's not just confounding. Johnson county was *rising* before the mandate, suggesting not just a place with better distancing.
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Replying to @WesPegden @j_g_allen
Check the trends in that particular one, before the mandates. That’s why I think it is different than many where it really is impossible to say a lot either way.
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zeynep tufekci Nov 22
Replying to @beenwrekt @j_g_allen
Right, all such studies are confounded but look at the trends right before the mandate which suggest this isn't just pre-existing behavioral difference. This one is different than most I've seen, and I'm fairly skeptical of ecological studies on masks.
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