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Yinon Weiss
AZ/TX/FL cases have nearly reached NY's peak and showing signs of decreasing. Daily deaths are so far 6x lower than NY's peak. Meanwhile, Australia had more cases today than Sweden. Even an island can only isolate for so long. Brings into question the whole point of lockdowns.
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Edward F. Brown Jul 22
Replying to @yinonw @kerpen
Testing rate differs between NY in April and AZ/TX/FL today. So not surprising deaths don't scale with cases. Your point on Australia is interesting, and news to me. I guess treatments are a bit better now than they were in March, so Australia has achieved that benefit?
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Yinon Weiss Jul 22
Replying to @efb_1 @kerpen
Fair point on test volume, though if that were the main driver then you wouldn't see cases decreasing around the same level. We'll see if that trend continues. Uncertain for now. If slightly better treatments are the benefit, the collateral damage of lockdowns don't compare.
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Bart Taliaferro 🇺🇸 🐘 Jul 22
Replying to @yinonw @kerpen
Really interesting. Have we gotten a lot better treating the disease? Why is the death rate so much lower?
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Yinon Weiss Jul 23
We are testing a lot more younger, healthier people. Not all "cases" are equal. The way that Sweden reports cases makes a lot more sense.
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Evan Z Kapp Jul 22
Replying to @yinonw
that is the point...flatten the curve, decrease deaths by not overwhelming hospitals and waiting for vaccine or other treatments improvements....see Sweden letter today by doc and scientists who admit that their plan sucked, in USA Today...
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Sollozzo Jul 22
Replying to @yinonw @AGHamilton29
Let’s all just accept the fact that we are living amidst a pandemic and it is what it is. We have to learn to live with its existence. No way around it.
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Pope Jack of Twittér Jul 22
Replying to @yinonw @AGHamilton29
Great info graph.
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Russian Bots for Yang 🤖🧢 Jul 22
Replying to @yinonw @AGHamilton29
I see two possible points of lockdown: 1) "flatten the curve" 2) eradicate virus, or make completely manageable via test-and-trace (isn't this what NZ did?) do you think either of those have merit?
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Stephen Haas Jul 23
Replying to @yinonw @AGHamilton29
1. Lockdowns are probably not necessary to flatten the curve. Measures short of lockdown (masks, distancing, no large events, etc.) can avoid super high peaks. 2. Possible with a small number of cases. Was probably impossible in the US as of about Feb. 15
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