Twitter | Search | |
Hugh Whelan Aug 1
The Covid crisis is hard to see in FL's historical deaths from all causes data. Monthly deaths from all causes have risen over time because population has grown. Even looking at death rate, however, there is an upward trend that is probably related to the increase in..
Reply Retweet Like
Hugh Whelan Aug 1
Replying to @whelanh1
...the average age of FL's population. Also notice that there are lower troughs and a lower peak in death rate around 2019 that suggest higher death rates in 2020 may be "catching up" for a mild prior period. If you "de-trend" the rates to correct for an aging population..
Reply Retweet Like
Hugh Whelan
...you can see both periods of true "excess" and "below normal" death rates. As stated at the outset, the Covid crisis is not remarkable in this historical data series. FL death data can be found here: ?
Reply Retweet Like More
Hugh Whelan Aug 1
Replying to @whelanh1
I should have stated the last graph are the residuals from the trend in 12 month rolling average death rates.
Reply Retweet Like
Richard Sprague Aug 1
Replying to @whelanh1
Great charts! Can you post the R someplace? I’d like to do similar for other states.
Reply Retweet Like
flyonthewall Aug 2
Replying to @whelanh1
Good stuff. Thank you. The support for dry tinder theory is growing...
Reply Retweet Like