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The Upshot
Analytical journalism in words and graphics from The New York Times. Our newsletter:
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The Upshot retweeted
Taniel 7h
Democrats are now leading the national popular vote by a larger margin than the GOP has won it by since 1946.
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The Upshot retweeted
Matt Blackwell 8h
Replying to @matt_blackwell
It seems like in 2016 there was a feeling that you could separate Trump and Republicans, so you could have +7 Clinton in this district in 2016 while the R easily carries the assembly seat
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The Upshot retweeted
Matt Blackwell 8h
What's amazing my hometown area of coastal Orange County is that ousting Rohrabacher was just the tip of the iceberg. The local assembly district is currently +3.5 D when it was +12.4 R in 2016.
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The Upshot retweeted
FiveThirtyEight 9h
Dominating retail? Yes. Reviving a city? No thanks. via
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Ryan D. Enos 10h
Replying to @dylanmatt
I think the general assumption is that your political preferences around college years remain pretty stable throughout lifespan - there will be some drift, but not 44 points worth of drift.
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The Upshot retweeted
Ryan D. Enos 10h
+44 is the death knell of the GOP
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The Upshot retweeted
Emily Badger 13h
This NYT investigation of Facebook is devastating
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The Upshot retweeted
Brendan Nyhan 10h
From “How Birth Year Influences Political Views” (based on paper): “Events at age 18 are about three times as powerful as those at age 40, according to the model.”
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The Upshot 9h
President Trump said that the Utah House incumbent Mia Love "gave me no love," and that's why she lost. But ... you have to count all the ballots. With fresh counting today, the race has become a tossup.
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The Upshot retweeted
Dave Wasserman 11h
New in : Rep. Devin Nunes (R)'s lead tightens from 10.2% to 8.0% w/ more Fresno ballots counted. Still a bridge too far for Dems, but getting tighter than many people (including me) thought it would be.
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The Upshot retweeted
Dave Wasserman 11h
This update, w/ Cox (D) winning 54% of new Fresno Co. ballots, has me rethinking my assessment that Rep. David Valadao (R) is still a prohibitive favorite.
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The Upshot retweeted
Jonathan Robinson 16h
RT'd before lunch and sharing my favorite table from our post-election national vote share & Democratic support estimates, after. Favorite chart/table (though I'm partial to them all)
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The Upshot retweeted
Reed Abelson 17h
Please comment on my story about hospital consolidation -- your experience in your community, thoughts on what should be done
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The Upshot retweeted
Nate Silver 14h
Replying to @NateSilver538
The most uncertain races at this point are: ME-2—Golden (D) likely to go ahead once 2nd choices are counted, but that hasn't happened yet and there's a lawsuit. UT-4—McAdams (D) is a slight favorite but tightened a lot. Not far from a tossup. GA-7—Woodall (R) leads by ~500 votes.
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The Upshot retweeted
David Leonhardt 16h
In Utah’s 4th House district, the Democrat — Ben McAdams — led after the initial vote count. The Republican — Mia Love — has closed the gap since Election night. The outcome remains unclear. Funny, you don’t hear much whining or conspiracy theorizing about that vote count.
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NYT Graphics 14h
This just in: Democrats flip NJ-3, leaving 8 House races left to be called.
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Annie Kadavy 19h
The implications of this are most certainly bigger than I can fathom. Anyone working on a company related to this trend, lmk. The Age That Women Have Babies: How a Gap Divides America - The New York Times
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The Upshot retweeted
Hannah Weinberger 18h
Nice Amazon HQ2 piece from ’s (with expert “how’d this happen” insight from ’s own ):
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(((Harry Enten))) 21h
Lots of talk about how Dems in the Senate hit a red wall of sorts given a 2 net seat loss... but keep in mind they won 69% of seats. 5th best of 27 for them in any midterm since 1914. They won a slightly higher % of seats this year than GOP in 2010 or 2014
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The Upshot retweeted
Dave Wasserman 17h
Fact: Dem women named Susan/Suzan/Suzanne (5), Katherine (4), Deb/Debbie (4) & Abby/Abigail (2) are on track to outnumber the *total* number of GOP women in the House (13-14) in 2019.
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