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Andrew Gelman
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Andrew Gelman 53m
Follow-up on yesterday’s posts: some maps are less misleading than others.
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Andrew Gelman 4h
“Election Forecasting: How We Succeeded Brilliantly, Failed Miserably, or Landed Somewhere in Between”
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Andrew Gelman 8h
An odds ratio of 30, which they (sensibly) don’t believe
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Andrew Gelman Oct 21
All maps of parameter estimates are (still) misleading
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Andrew Gelman Oct 21
Hiring at all levels at Flatiron Institute’s Center for Computational Mathematics
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Andrew Gelman Oct 21
“Model takes many hours to fit and chains don’t converge”: What to do? My advice on first steps.
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Andrew Gelman Oct 20
Piranhas in the rain: Why instrumental variables are not as clean as you might have thought
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Andrew Gelman Oct 20
Presidents as saviors vs. presidents as being hired to do a job
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Andrew Gelman Oct 19
Estimated “house effects” (biases of pre-election surveys from different pollsters) and here’s why you have to be careful not to overinterpret them:
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Andrew Gelman Oct 18
Whassup with the dots on our graph?
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Andrew Gelman Oct 18
Pre-register post-election analyses?
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Andrew Gelman Oct 17
Between-state correlations and weird conditional forecasts: the correlation depends on where you are in the distribution
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Andrew Gelman Oct 16
Reference for the claim that you need 16 times as much data to estimate interactions as to estimate main effects
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Andrew Gelman Oct 15
Calibration problem in tails of our election forecast
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Andrew Gelman Oct 14
Stan’s Within-Chain Parallelization now available with brms
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Andrew Gelman Oct 14
She’s wary of the consensus based transparency checklist, and here’s a paragraph we should’ve added to that zillion-authored paper
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Andrew Gelman Oct 13
We are stat professors with the American Statistical Association, and we’re thrilled to talk to you about the statistics behind voting. Ask us anything!
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Andrew Gelman Oct 13
Fiction as a window into other cultures
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Andrew Gelman Oct 12
More on martingale property of probabilistic forecasts and some other issues with our election model
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Andrew Gelman Oct 11
Don’t ever change, social psychology! You’re perfect just the way you are
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