Twitter | Search | |
Sebastian Marshall
Parati servire.
4,024
Tweets
204
Following
3,913
Followers
Tweets
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Surprisingly interesting question -> my thread riffing on it.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
I'm voting 20/80 cuz it seems most correct of the options, but on the aggressive version of classifying all analysis/brainstorming/understanding constraints/evaluating/tracking/metrics/scheduling/etc as "planning", I could see voting a much higher number. Interesting question.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
So that's probably the low end. The upper bound is domain-specific, and again swings on definitions. Take finance. Is studying financial statements planning? Probably not, right? Is it "doing" though, when you're in the evaluating stage? Hmm. So it's tricky to say.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
Anyway, 5.5 per week out of 20-40 hours = 14% to 28%. That's probably the low end of getting the gains from planning. Again though, a lot of people do this intuitively without calling it planning. Also I suppose I'm rolling a lot of "analysis" into planning in this calculation.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
Of course, most people don't consider this "planning." If you sit and review where you're at, for instance, in the middle of writing an essay — most people wouldn't consider that planning, even though it's more-or-less implicitly what you're doing.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
That's 1-3 hours to review the last week and plan next, 1-3 hours additionally at the end of each month, and 30-60 min per day (10-20 in the morning, 5-20 in the evening, and 5-10 orienting on any major project work session). So actually, recalculating, you could 5.5 per week.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
But ok, let's say the typical moderately ambitious person puts in 20 good hours of work per week and another 10-20 hours of okay work. They probably shouldn't be spending less than 20-28 hours per month collectively on planning.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
Re: #2, for instance, does research count as planning? How about free daydreaming about the future? A lot of the time I put into inventing brand new things can't be cleanly classified as either.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall 12h
Replying to @uberstuber
This is a great question. Hmm. Cop-out answers: (1) Depends on what mode you're in; (2) Depends what you classify as "planning" vs doing.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall retweeted
Max Roser Jul 6
Different German cities made masks mandatory at different points in time. This study uses a synthetic control methodology and finds that requiring face masks to be worn decreased the growth rate of COVID-19 cases by about 40% in Germany.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 6
Replying to @sebastmarsh
There's a 25 character limit on poll answers, so obviously the answers are simplifications. Feel free to add nuance or clarify in replies, but please pick the answer that most closely represents your position.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 6
Two part question. Your opinion on... (1) Is mental toughness a real thing that leads to better life outcomes? (2) If so, can it be cultivated or is it innate?
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 6
Replying to @sebastmarsh
(2/2) She said those doctors and nurses didn't even have time to sleep, and that I should be grateful and overcome the difficulties. My mom's words gave me a lot of confidence at that time." - Zhang Weilei,
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 6
(1/2) "I called my mom and I told her I was upset. She told me there were a lot of people in China fighting the virus, and I shouldn't be the one complaining just because I needed to travel around.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 5
Replying to @yashkaf
Lunch is on me if you make it through Charleston on one of these trips.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 4
100% of your meals show up via delivery with perfect calories/macros for your goals. Very simple under-2-minute software to rate yesterday's performance, hunger, enjoyment of meals, etc. It's going to be pretty big, we reckon. Full details:
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 4
- launch promo. There's detailed FAQ (took longer to write than the page) but also contact info if you have a unique situation and you want to check if it'll fly. Hope to have you onboard, salut.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 4
We're not going for luxury market btw — $280/week for 100% of your food as starting price isn't much higher than typical American food spend and will be a decrease for many people in large cities. It's definitely cheaper than food + nutritionist or personal trainer.
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 4
Replying to @WilliamAEden
(Unlike Carthage, we don't currently face an existential threat from another country though.)
Reply Retweet Like
Sebastian Marshall Jul 4
Replying to @WilliamAEden
In some ways, I think "Are we Carthage?" is a better question than "Are we Rome?" Rome legitimately had a variety of slow-moving unsolvable problems at various times. Carthage had an inability to support their own effective leaders even when they had solutions.
Reply Retweet Like