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Statistical Ideas
philosophy/risk theory site:33m reads/225k follows. advisor. harvard. obama/TARP officer. statistics topics (#1 '15,'16) fmr: Wall St., stats professor,& editor
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Statistical Ideas Nov 20
number of days since we’ve had a market daily-drop of: 0% 8 (avg= 690 days) -1% 43 (avg= 15 days) -2% 83 (avg= 68 days) -3% 344 (avg= 242 days) -4% 646 (avg= 589 days) -5% 3020 (avg=1056 days)
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Statistical Ideas Nov 20
what would be great to explain are a couple oddities in this data (since 1985): a. we currently have a $0.00 and a $0.07 daily changes (inside the past 1-month window) b. the ONLY other time we had something similar (inside a 1-month window) were two $0.00 daily changes, in 1995
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Statistical Ideas Nov 19
the everyday risks you have to worry about: * not you rear-ending the car ahead * but rather the car behind, itself being rear-ended
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Statistical Ideas Nov 18
Replying to @salilstatistics
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Statistical Ideas Nov 18
Replying to @salilstatistics
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Statistical Ideas Nov 18
Replying to @salilstatistics
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Statistical Ideas Nov 18
Replying to @salilstatistics
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Statistical Ideas Nov 18
Replying to @salilstatistics
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Statistical Ideas Nov 18
Replying to @salilstatistics
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Statistical Ideas Nov 17
0̸ Dow: the mystical topic of nothingness! Why can faint readings of wi +/-0.0003% even occur? What’s empirical distr. ~0? How deviant of a finding should UNCH (0̸) be, relative to what we know about Dow's theory? We confront these inter-related queries.
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Statistical Ideas Nov 17
0̸ Dow: the mystical topic of nothingness! Why can faint readings of wi +/-0.0003% even occur? What’s empirical distr. ~0? How deviant of a finding should UNCH (0̸) be, relative to what we know about Dow's theory? We confront these inter-related queries.
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Statistical Ideas Nov 15
front page news
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Emmanuel C‽aiя Nov 16
Why don't we ask the guy who gave him the rope ? Would be easier, riddles should have a limited time length. Or maybe it was a gal (in gaol), sorry could not help.
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Amitabh Arolkar Nov 16
Lol, Epstein must be rolling in his grave with all this statistical probability around his demise ! This calls for some grave concern . The probability outlook is undeniably Grave !!
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Statistical Ideas Nov 16
Replying to @BzhClair @WSJ and 2 others
C‽aiя: "Next pin at DJ 31,415. I expect Dow to stay there for...weeks, likelihood >50%..." well played! but first we need to assess whether the Dow could safely compute at 31,415.9265, given the divisor unit. these market stats mavens can help:
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Statistical Ideas Nov 16
Replying to @BzhClair @WSJ and 2 others
C‽aiя: "Next pin at DJ 31,415. I expect Dow to stay there for...weeks, likelihood >50%..." well played! but first we need to assess whether the Dow could safely compute at 31,415.9265, given the divisor unit. these market stats mavens can help:
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Statistical Ideas Nov 16
most answering this wrong, just like in this other poll wording, and sampling... matter
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Statistical Ideas Nov 16
most answering this wrong, just like in this other poll wording, and sampling... matter
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Statistical Ideas Nov 16
Replying to @salilstatistics
most answering this wrong, just like in this other poll wording, and sampling... matter
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Statistical Ideas Nov 16
Replying to @salilstatistics
most answering this wrong, just like in this other poll wording, and sampling... matter
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