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Shows Betting Markets Are Not a Silver Bullet for Predicting Elections
At close yesterday the odds were 12–1 against leaving. Whoops.
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Rebecca Throckmorton 24 Jun 16
Replying to @reason
So - Trump could win
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Roland K 24 Jun 16
Replying to @reason
in forecasting 20% leave, one time in five this would be true. Statistically, there is no evidence that punters were wrong.
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powr2ppl 24 Jun 16
Replying to @reason @sladesr
anymore-using money to influence the election results
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Alfred E. Newman 24 Jun 16
Replying to @reason @JohnStossel
I've been telling that to for months. :-)
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In This Economy 25 Jun 16
Replying to @reason
. It doesn't help when elites stack one side of the betting to sway political opinion.
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