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Rukmini Callimachi
1. After ISIS claimed Vegas, I was waiting for them to release Naba, their weekly newsletter, to see if anything new emerged. Naba is out:
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
2. Under a picture of the Mandalay Bay drenched in blood they rehash the attack. New info: They are now claiming shooter converted 6 mos ago
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @siteintelgroup
3. Below is the translation. ISIS earlier said shooter converted "months ago." Now they're saying it was 6 mos specifically
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @siteintelgroup
4. No proof is provided, but ISIS has rarely claimed attacks that were not by either their members or sympathizers.
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
5. ISIS members meanwhile are pointing out that after ISIS downed Metrojet over Sinai, no one believed them:
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
6. In their chatrooms, they are claiming that the West and the media is leading a cover-up in order to hide the "martyrdom" of their brother
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
7. I don't take ISIS' claim at face value. And so far, 0 evidence tying this attack to ISIS has emerged.
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
8. But here's why I disagree with those rejecting it out of hand. I've been covering ISIS since 2014 and since then I have kept a timeline
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
9. Everytime ISIS claimed an attack in West, I jotted it down. Month later, I've gone back over list & annotated what investigation found
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
10. My list is not complete but of the more than 50 cases I have annotated, I could only find 3 false claims.
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
11. Yes, the group frequently exaggerates death tolls & yes, they inflate & distort details, but the crux of the claim is typically correct
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
12. The thing to understand is ISIS considers an attack to be their handiwork if the attacker is sent by them or if he is inspired by them.
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
13. The reason I don't buy argument that they are now opportunistically claiming attacks to deflect from battlefield losses is as follows
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
14. Beyond the attacks they've claimed, there are many more they could have claimed but didn't. These are attacks where we know it was them
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
15. Remember the Thalys train shouting? They never claimed it. Attacker shared a hotel room with Abdlehamid Abaaoud, leader of Paris attack
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
16. Remember the attack on the Jewish Museum in Brussels? Attacker was 1 of ISIS' jailers who held European hostages. Yet they never claimed
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
17. Do you remember the devastating attack on the Istanbul airport last year? Investigation determined it was ISIS. Again they did not claim
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
18. And 1 day before Vegas on Saturday, a guy who'd placed ISIS flag on his car's dashboard used it to ram police. Did ISIS claim it? Nope
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @rcallimachi
19 Does this mean ISIS had a role in Vegas? There is as yet 0 evidence of that. My point: This group has been more right than its been wrong
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Rukmini Callimachi 5 Oct 17
Replying to @aradboaz
Yes
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