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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb retweeted
Mike Lawler 10h
Replying to @nntaleb
4/4 understanding 's recent paper here is also critically important to understanding what can go wrong when you approximate financial markets with brownian motion:
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 10h
1) Fourier of Gaussian is ~ another Gaussian (self-adj) 2) Here Fourier is cos[t x] => Exp[I t x] because the imaginary part is 0 (odd function)
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 10h
Markers of aging: 1- You stop learning something new 2- You talk too much about aging 3- The things you forget aren't the things you should be forgetting
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 11h
Replying to @PTetlock
Why I call a rat. He SIGNED on this paper then renegged & stabbed me in the back WITHOUT even contacting me (to get forecasting contracts).
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 11h
Glad you equate rationality to Dutch book. The Only robust definition!
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 12h
Can someone ask to explain the equations he is commenting on? Twitter is not generous with BS vendors.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 13h
Yes I rarely call someone an imbecile who is not an imbecile.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 14h
Replying to @KDHabibi
The birth of the tragedy.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 14h
Replying to @tmikaelsen @PTetlock
Mikaelsn is an imbecile. Talking about expected payoffs.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 14h
Replying to @goldstein_aa
He is an imbecile. Talking about expected payoffs.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb retweeted
Nassim Nicholas Taleb 15h
I am Christian. I live 11 miles from Salafis. I have skin in the game. And I tell you in past 10y Shiites paid a horrible price. Same during Ottoman era.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 15h
I am Christian. I live 11 miles from Salafis. I have skin in the game. And I tell you in past 10y Shiites paid a horrible price. Same during Ottoman era.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 15h
Not what I am saying. These things work ONLY for large deviations not smaller ones. The smaller the deviation the less relevant the phenotype effect. Disproportionally!
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 15h
Actually... Shiites! They paid the heaviest price. Salafis have been butchering them without much outcry.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 15h
Replying to @Cernovich
Actually... Shiites! They paid the heaviest price. Salafis have been butchering them without much outcry.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb retweeted
Joe Norman 16h
To ’s point: you can only learn from an academic how to be an academic Instead of conveying embodied knowhow from a place of deep understanding, an academic will formulate answers to “essay questions” and “explain his reasoning” in order to keep his GPA up
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 16h
Replying to @mikeharrisNY @PTetlock
That’s another severe problem inthe sense that convergence is different
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 16h
Replying to @nntaleb
Typo: the integration is over any subset of A.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 16h
Replying to @longgamma2
Me neither
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb 16h
At the center of my problem with Phil "the rat" Tetlock is only a matter of...elementary calculus upon which EVERYTHING in his "forecasting" work is built. Elementary.
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