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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@
nntaleb
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Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.
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18,375
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889
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365,737
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Mike Lawler
@mikeandallie
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4/4 understanding @nntaleb 's recent paper here is also critically important to understanding what can go wrong when you approximate financial markets with brownian motion: twitter.com/nntaleb/status…
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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1) Fourier of Gaussian is ~ another Gaussian (self-adj)
2) Here Fourier is cos[t x] => Exp[I t x] because the imaginary part is 0 (odd function)
mathworld.wolfram.com/FourierTransfo…
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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10h |
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Markers of aging:
1- You stop learning something new
2- You talk too much about aging
3- The things you forget aren't the things you should be forgetting
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Why I call @Ptetlock a rat. He SIGNED on this paper then renegged & stabbed me in the back WITHOUT even contacting me (to get forecasting contracts). pic.twitter.com/qxnjM8yKVT
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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11h |
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Glad you equate rationality to Dutch book. The Only robust definition!
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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12h |
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Can someone ask @michaelshermer to explain the equations he is commenting on?
Twitter is not generous with BS vendors. twitter.com/michaelshermer…
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Yes I rarely call someone an imbecile who is not an imbecile.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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The birth of the tragedy.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Mikaelsn is an imbecile. Talking about expected payoffs.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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He is an imbecile. Talking about expected payoffs.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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I am Christian. I live 11 miles from Salafis. I have skin in the game. And I tell you in past 10y Shiites paid a horrible price.
Same during Ottoman era.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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I am Christian. I live 11 miles from Salafis. I have skin in the game. And I tell you in past 10y Shiites paid a horrible price.
Same during Ottoman era.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Not what I am saying. These things work ONLY for large deviations not smaller ones. The smaller the deviation the less relevant the phenotype effect. Disproportionally!
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Actually... Shiites! They paid the heaviest price. Salafis have been butchering them without much outcry. twitter.com/cernovich/stat…
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Actually... Shiites! They paid the heaviest price. Salafis have been butchering them without much outcry.
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Joe Norman
@normonics
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To @nntaleb’s point: you can only learn from an academic how to be an academic
Instead of conveying embodied knowhow from a place of deep understanding, an academic will formulate answers to “essay questions” and “explain his reasoning” in order to keep his GPA up twitter.com/hostageklller/…
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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That’s another severe problem inthe sense that convergence is different
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Typo: the integration is over any subset of A.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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Me neither
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb
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At the center of my problem with Phil "the rat" Tetlock @Ptetlock is only a matter of...elementary calculus upon which EVERYTHING in his "forecasting" work is built.
Elementary. pic.twitter.com/Dn67PIPOz4
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