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Mathieu Duchâtel
Policy analyst China's foreign policy, North East Asian affairs, maritime security, Taiwan, EU- relations. Former Beijing.
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Mathieu Duchâtel 20h
On Taiwan's purchase of F-16V fighters from the US: 1) A special budget will need to be approved by Parliament 2) It shows the confidence of the Tw military that the Air Force would survive a first strike (contrary to what is often said)
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Mathieu Duchâtel retweeted
François Godement Aug 20
Hong Kong’s Last Gasp | Institut Montaigne
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Nicolas Bauquet Aug 21
L'administration américaine vient d'autoriser la vente de 66 F-16 à Taiwan. A mettre en perspective en relisant l'excellent papier que nous a donné Scott Harold pendant son Visiting Fellowship à Montaigne en juillet dernier.
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 20
China's military presence in Tajikistan and Russia-China relations. I was stunned to hear recently from a Chinese Central Asia expert that this military outpost is "American fake news" (美国假新闻). China so low-key about this that some of its experts don't know or pretend to.
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 20
The construction of the first Type 075 Landing Helicopter Dock has finally been photographed in Shanghai. Key system for China's expanding Marines Corps, it will considerably enhance China's amphibious assault capacities
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 20
Where containing China's ambition to establish a military presence in the Pacific Islands is described as a "game of whack-a-mole".
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 20
Australia, India, the South Pacific: refreshing attempt to shift the focus of the Taiwanese strategic discussion away from cross-strait relations at the Ketagalan Forum in Taipei
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Bill Bishop Aug 19
Daily reminder that China initiated the Internet decoupling over a decade ago...
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 19
“As Twitter is blocked in PRC, many of these accounts accessed Twitter using VPNs. However, some accounts accessed Twitter from specific unblocked IP addresses originating in mainland China.”
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 18
Who Is Winning the AI Race: China, the EU or the United States?
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 18
A reminder that the 2019 u-turn in China's Japan policy is just a tactical adjustment to deal with the US trade war: Japan releases information on dangerous Chinese maneuver last May simulating attack on Jp destroyers near median line in East China Sea
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 15
Replying to @mtdtl
To put things in perspective, this total amount is comparable to the 2019 increase in volume of China's official defense spending (+7.5% to $177.61 billion), but quantity is not everything.
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 15
Taiwan's executive branch proposes an 8.3% increase in military spending for 2020, to $13.11 billion, still to be approved by Parliament. This is the largest increase since 2008.
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 15
Replying to @stegersaurus
I would add, if only for its title, now a key slogan of the demonstrations: 知法犯法 (badly translated in English as Cop on a Mission)
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 13
Replying to @mtdtl
2019 (first six months) is an unusual year by the standards of longer term public opinion trends in Taiwan - and this even before the violent confrontation started in Hong Kong.
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 13
Replying to @mtdtl
Impact in Taiwan of how "one country, two systems" plays out in Hong Kong can also be seen in the rise of support for "maintaining status quo indefinitely" (+2,9 in first six months of 2019) and "maintaining status quo and move towards independence" (+4,8)
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 13
Replying to @mtdtl
Analysts at National Chengchi University attribute this to the Hong Kong protests and to Xi Jinping's New Year speech that stressed "one country, two systems"
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 13
"Changes in Taiwanese identity" always a fascinating chart for the long-term trend, but 2019 short term trend also interesting: rise of Taiwanese only identity (+2,4) and first decline of "both Taiwanese and Chinese identity" (-1,7) after five years of consecutive rise
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Adam Ni Aug 12
Since the start of in June, I’ve been asked repeatedly about Beijing’s strategy. For weeks, I have said Beijing is scrambling to come up with an effective response. However, this has changed. Over the last weeks, a full picture of this strategy has emerged. THREAD
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Mathieu Duchâtel Aug 11
Replying to @mtdtl
Stats for the first six months of 2019 show 28% tourists came from China, 16% from Japan, 23% from South/Southeast Asia, Australia and New Zealand (new Southbound countries). New Beijing restrictions announced in August will likely affect these proportions in the next 6 months.
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