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Dr. Maia Majumder
Out today is the first peer-reviewed basic reproduction number (R_0) estimate for . Consistent with ranges presented by others in pre-print (including me & 's), this team finds a mean R_0 of 2.2 []. Useful time-to-event distributions too.
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我一直在亲自发推 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @mandl
Very informative. The confirmed cases decreased after Jan 8. But it grows up again now. What happen? Can we trust this R0?
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Ada Yan 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @huangdx @maiamajumder @mandl
The figure shows the date of onset of illness of confirmed cases, not the date of confirmation. "The decline in incidence after January 8 is likely to be due to delays in diagnosis and laboratory confirmation." i.e. some cases are yet to be confirmed and included on the graph.
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Grace 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @mandl
can all of you wonderful and amazing and scientists and biologists please explain the following to us laypeople: How many people does one infected person infect? How do people know that they have the virus? Who is dying from the virus?
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Jack Heath 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Practice_grace @maiamajumder @mandl
I found this informative tweet:
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CoogGeo 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @mandl
So, incubation period *could* be as long as a couple of weeks, but the median is actually around 4 days? Is it normal to see a distribution with a tail that long?
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MattyMcClain 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @mandl
This is very informative. Thank you for sharing!
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Kerim 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @mandl
For comparison H1N1 R0 of 1.4 and 1.6, influenza (mean R0 1.3) range 0.9 to 2.1, et al
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Sara Kueck 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @mandl
Thank you for sharing!
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SuperEmpath🙅‍♀️ 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @PneumoniaWuhan @mandl
Is anyone asking if they are smokers since it’s 70% men and smoking is more prevalent in Asian men.
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我一直在亲自发推 30. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @maiamajumder @mandl
Hope this estimation can help you get an understanding of how many potential infected cases in Wuhan now
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