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JonRead
Infectious disease epidemiologist
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JonRead retweeted
Adam Kucharski Mar 16
If you're in UK, now is good time to sign up for , which was set up during 2009 flu pandemic to track community illness. It's easy to fill out each week, and provides valuable data on milder infections. Here are some insights it's previously produced... 1/
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JonRead retweeted
Anne Marie Darling Mar 11
Lots of science-y folks are posting this graph. But if there is one thing I have learned from being on the internet, it is this: Data/graphs: Not compelling to many. Kitties: Compelling to many. So I present: .
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JonRead retweeted
Graham Medley Mar 8
People emphasising the age and comorbity risks of - it’s the same with every epidemic. Finding reasons why it will not be us/me. Virtually every country explained why HIV/AIDS would not be a problem for them. Denial is not protection
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JonRead retweeted
Caitlin Rivers, PhD Mar 5
An important new preprint finds that children are just as likely as adults to be infected. This is a key piece of data that may support school closures as an effective intervention.
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JonRead Mar 5
I've not seen any more recent data.
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JonRead Mar 5
Replying to @joel_c_miller
Could you calculate a 'cost' component: transmission reduction (intervention effort) x pop size x duration ? Non-linear relationship with benefit? Would get interesting with the metapop scenario, perhaps?
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Justin Lessler Feb 22
We were getting questions about the outbreak on the Diamond Princess so and I decided to see how much of the apparent dynamics might change if we account for changing surveillance. The answer, quite a lot
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JonRead Feb 21
Please ignore that 2.5 estimate (where is my time machine?). Our (finalized) estimate for R0 is 3.11 (95%CI, 2.39-4.13) using data up to 22 Jan. Changes itemized at start of ms
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JonRead Jan 28
Great question. Well look into it when we can. Thanks.
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JonRead Jan 28
Replying to @SRileyIDD
Now on medRxiv (I'm a convert ,) google drive pdf copy removed.
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JonRead Jan 28
Replying to @JonRead15
medRxiv may take a little while to show the updated version.
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JonRead Jan 28
Updated estimates for with improved model fitting and uncertainty estimation. V2 submitted medRxiv temporary copy
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JonRead Jan 28
Updated estimates for with improved model fitting and uncertainty estimation. V2 submitted medRxiv temporary copy
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JonRead Jan 25
Would be great to see finer temporal resolution than monthly.
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JonRead Jan 24
Updating medRxiv and Google drive pdfs as new analysis done
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JonRead Jan 24
Thanks Scott, good spot.
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JonRead Jan 24
Yes, we only had information on air travel, so it is definitely a risk that R0 in particular could be an over-estimate. Are there any good sources of ground transportation data?
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JonRead Jan 24
Early estimates of epidemiological parameters and short range epidemic predictions. Many caveats apply, naturally.
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JonRead Jan 23
Replying to @JustinLessler
Thanks Justin. Needs must and all that.
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