Twitter | Search | |
John P. Hussman
Thinking that taking stock market risk will reward you with a "risk premium" relative to bonds? Think again. A century of history suggests that the total return of the S&P 500 is likely to lag Treasury bond returns by ~2% over the coming 12-years, implying ~zero return on stocks.
Reply Retweet Like More
Real_TG Dec 13
Replying to @hussmanjp
Reply Retweet Like
Pablo Suisse Dec 13
Replying to @hussmanjp
And the stock markets are only up because of actions of the Federal Reserve. They take away the punch bowl and the needle and it's game over.
Reply Retweet Like
Risk Seeker Dec 13
Replying to @PabloSuisse @hussmanjp
Not only Fed. All central banks, animal spirits of the masses, popularity of index funds, industry marketing, RobinHood, variable annuities, other stock schemes along with potus cheerleader-in-chief, tax cuts and more are all complicit.
Reply Retweet Like
Gabriel Nergaard Dec 13
Replying to @hussmanjp
It’s hard to predict the future. In my allocation (called the Golden Butterfly), I have 20% long-term US bonds. I’ve been told for more than a decade that’s the worst possible asset to hold, but have been profiting from rebalancing all the way.
Reply Retweet Like
Risk Seeker Dec 13
Replying to @hussmanjp
That’s one reason why I prefer individual company risk, and am not overly diversified.
Reply Retweet Like
Risk Seeker Dec 13
Replying to @hussmanjp
John, I couldn’t find a way to private message you, but wanted to offer this security selection as a token of my gratitude for all you share and an example of company risk I prefer and can benefit from as a small investor. Pain relief w/o opioids is a very important solution!
Reply Retweet Like
vm2000 Dec 14
Replying to @hussmanjp
John, every rational valuation metric has failed to anticipate this Bull market. Has $15T in NEGATIVE yielding debt (something the world has never seen before) fundamentally changed the game?
Reply Retweet Like
Bruce Lee Dec 13
Replying to @hussmanjp
Did it just keeps going up, I've been sat here on my hands waiting for this 50% decline for 6 years now 😂
Reply Retweet Like