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Jeffrey Kleintop Aug 14
Fed always dismissed recession risk when inverted: 1989 Greenspan: inversion due to distortion from S&L crisis 2000 Greenspan: inversion due to healthy fiscal surplus 2006 Bernanke: inversion due to "global savings glut" 2019 Powell: inversion due to low inflation
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jeroen blokland Aug 26
For the record, the 10Y-3M is more inverted now than it was back in 2007.
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Liz Ann Sonders Jul 9
Perhaps it’s different this time, but based on the , ’s Recession Probability Model is up to 33% (only once, in late-1960s, was avoided when model was this high) ... ’s GDPNow slipping as well, to only 1.3%
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Mark Ungewitter Aug 17
My 85-year-old neighbor just asked about the . Do you think retail has received the memo?
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Optuma Aug 15
Animated since 2018 showing recent inversion:
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Investment-Chart-Strategy Aug 16
The US Treasury yields plunging because inflation expectations moving drastically lower, and term premium lower because of negative yields elsewhere. Growth expectations from the Treasury market actually bottomed in July of this year.
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T3 Live Aug 14
Every trader on Wall Street today...
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🔴 I. Vodenitcharov CFA CMT Aug 15
Bloomberg news articles mentioning the 👀
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Mike Iscovitz Aug 14
Don’t freak out, but the has officially inverted. The 2 year US treasury pays more than a 10 year.
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Anthony Colarossi 15h
What does August’s inverted mean? 
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jeroen blokland Aug 27
ICYMI! The 30-year - 3-month US Treasury briefly inverted for the first time yesterday.
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Chris Cioce 16h
Well now this is weird.
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Beef Ent. Aug 14
Trending with:
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Nathan E. Yates Aug 14
I’m amazed how many people have suddenly become yield curve experts today.
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macro-view 16h
Strong yield curve 10-2years pullback towards inversion afted indecisive and a hawkish 0.25% rate cut.
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Michael McKerr Aug 27
Where do you think the U.S. 10yr yield would be if the U.S./China were not in a protracted trade war?
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🧠 Kirk Heatwole Aug 14
Tons of people tweeting about the "recession" when over 3/4 of them have zero stocks and have no clue about what the stock market is or does.
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JohnLynchLPL Aug 14
We’re not convinced that this inversion is a sign of imminent recession. The U.S. labor market is at full employment, healthy wage growth is fueling strong consumer activity, and corporate profits are at record levels.
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Jeremy N Aug 21
2’s-10’s will probably be negative again tomorrow only this time it will probably stay and close negative. Should be interesting to see how stock markets react (if at all).
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Bridges Capital LLC 16h
Here is your before and after the rate decision.
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