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Capeweather 5h
Possible tropical development mid week in the BOC. Stay tuned.
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Trey Fulbright May 29
Will have to keep close tabs on an area of thunderstorms emerging off the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche. EPS and GEFS ensembles hinting at the potential for some tropical development late next week as t-storms activity shifts northwest.
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Brian Alonzo 46m
Tropical Depression 2E in the Eastern Pacific is currently approaching Mexico. It's expected to continue to move north then NW & may reemerge into the Bay of Campeche this week. Could reform into a tropical system. Still a lot of uncertainty but we will keep you updated.
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CAT 365 May 28
Uhh? That’s some big convection. Yikes..
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Hurricane Tracker App 14h
12Z GEFS ensembles are concentrated in the NW Gulf next weekend. CMC/ CMC ensembles/EURO ensembles are similar (for now). Lots of time to go and quite a bit of uncertainty due to the large gyre.
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Roy25 May 29
states this system has a 50% chance of forming to a subtropical depression within 5 days. This system has at most until tomorrow to develop. Should this system develop to a tropical storm (40 mph+), it would receive the name Cristobal.
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Hurricane Tracker App May 28
The CPC states “moderate confidence” for W Caribbean or Gulf development in week two. Favorable patter could lead to tropical development. Odds are increasing. We’ve been mentioning this potential…
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mike 9h
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WHLT 22 Hattiesburg May 29
...A disturbance called "Invest 92L" located in the central Atlantic has about a 50% chance of developing into a subtropical depression over the next 2 days as it moves north. Further development and significant land effects are not expected.
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Hurricane Tracker App 12h
The 12Z European ensemble has more members into the NW Gulf and stronger as well. Nothing set in concrete, but odds are increasing with each run that we may see a Gulf system next week. ?
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Maria May 28
We live in the Sunshine State they say?!
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❄Eric Drewitz☃️ 31m
SST trends show La Nina conditions strengthening as SSTs continue cooling in the equatorial Pacific. This could be a significant player to why the Atlantic Basin has an active start to Hurricane season. La Nina conditions help reduce shear and upwelling in the Atlantic.
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Hurricane Tracker App 8h
Breaking: There’s now officially a 20% chance of development in the Bay of Campeche through the next 5 days.
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Jane Minar May 29
The is closely monitoring an area of development in the Atlantic. Disorganized showers and storms may gain some subtropical characteristics early this weekend. but long-range development is rather unlikely.
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CAT 365 8h
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Michael Palmer 8h
Getting harder to ignore TC signal for Gulf of Mexico by next weekend as ensemble guidance focuses on TX/LA coast for tropical storm, poss hurricane potential. Still uncertainty on details this far out.
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Hurricane Tracker App May 28
Ensemble average of each major model is showing the potential of development in about 7-14 days in the W Caribbean or southern Gulf.
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Anthony M May 28
NHC gives a 30% chance of development.
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Margaret Orr May 29
Subtropical depression possible tonight or Saturday in Central Atlantic.
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Zach Covey 14h
BREAKING | No surprise, development odds dropped on Invest . Now down to a 40% chance due to lack of thunderstorm activity around the closed low. Good riddance if you ask me.
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