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Tom Hancock
Financial Times reporter 英国金融时报驻华记者 tom.hancock@ft.com. Was in Wuhan, then in London. DMs open.
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Tom Hancock 20m
Replying to @hancocktom
Sadly there is a lot of research suggesting that healthcare workers migration to richer countries has a negative impact on the developing world, for example papers cited here:
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Tom Hancock 1h
no - same math as done here
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Tom Hancock 2h
Replying to @hancocktom
Here is the full OECD report from 2019:
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Tom Hancock 2h
Replying to @hancocktom
The data the charts are based on is from 2015-16, but trends suggest the proportion of foreign-born staff will have gone up since. Across countries the "share of foreign-born nurses increased by an average of 1.5 percentage points" in the 5 years to from 2011-2016
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Tom Hancock 2h
Replying to @hancocktom
And here's nurses:
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Tom Hancock 2h
Just become aware of an amazing data set showing the proportion of migrant healthcare staff in richer countries from the OECD. The people risking their lives to save others. Start with doctors:
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Tom Hancock 2h
Replying to @katyjohnson30
His message to colleagues was December 30
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Tom Hancock 2h
Replying to @niubi @ZichenWanghere
And the number would have reached 11m - everyone in the city - in about 90 days.
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Tom Hancock 2h
Replying to @niubi @ZichenWanghere
We know that, if uncontrolled, covid-19 cases grow at a rate of 20-30% daily. If there had been 1000 cases in mid-November, then even at a conservative 20% daily growth rate, 4.7m would have been infected by mid-January, about half of Wuhan's 11m population.
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Tom Hancock 2h
Replying to @niubi @ZichenWanghere
We know the r0 of covid-19. If it had been rampant in November, the deaths by January would have been enormous with no social distancing in place in the city until then
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Tom Hancock 3h
Looks like a worthy Shanghai themed quarantine read...
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Tom Hancock retweeted
Global Times 3h
Silent carriers are infectious, must be reported within 2 hours after discovery: State Council
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Tom Hancock 3h
Replying to @JoshuaDummer
a bit concerning that they are charging for tests - hardly an incentive for people to get them
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Tom Hancock retweeted
david oliver 8h
David Oliver: Silencing NHS staff who speak out is sheer stupidity
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Tom Hancock retweeted
The Independent 3h
UK coronavirus death toll in hospitals alone rises by 938 in one day
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Tom Hancock retweeted
外交部 Ministry of Foreign Affairs, ROC (Taiwan) 🇹🇼 7h
These days we've been busy packing face masks for countries hard hit by . Allies & friends, is coming! We'll beat the challenges together. JW
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Tom Hancock retweeted
Nick Srnicek 9h
This Reuters piece also leaves out what's been reported elsewhere - that many scientists were dissenting and the government went with a minority position
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Tom Hancock 8h
Replying to @JoshuaDummer
for free I presume?
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Tom Hancock retweeted
Jonathan Portes 9h
Replying to @jdportes
I think this is too pessimistic. Virus won't significantly affect physical, human or intellectual capital. As a consequence, most conventional models would predict little/no effect on potential output. That is, sharp bounce-back to “trend” should be both possible & likely (2/8)
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Tom Hancock retweeted
BBC News (World) 9h
"I hope other people can learn from Wuhan" Residents of Wuhan, the Chinese city where the coronavirus pandemic originated, have been sharing lessons as they emerge from nearly three months of lockdown
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