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genesius
Eleven predictions, presented without judgment.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
First, Biden defeats Trump in November in a historic landslide—think FDR over Hoover, Nixon over McGovern, or Regan over Carter and Mondale.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Second, and in addition to the Biden Blowout, Democrats take both houses of Congress by decisive margins.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Third, the media—transformed from a nominally neutral institution into an overtly partisan one—heralds the Biden Blowout a historic mandate to pursue a fundamental realignment of American government along "progressive" lines.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Fourth, by the end of Biden's first term, Democrats will have secured one-party rule for the foreseeable future. The means will be (1) consolidating control of government, (2) aggressive de-Trumpification, and (3) new "progressive" rulemaking.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Fifth, consolidation of government will be achieved by (a) ending all immigration restrictions—there will be millions and millions of new "Americans” by 2024; (b) gerrymandering, taking advantage of the 2020 Census delay; and
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
(c) court-packing, to dilute Republican efforts to appoint conservative judges. There will be new Supreme Court seats, new circuit court seats, and new district judges; naturally, “diversity” will be the most important criterion for appointees.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Sixth, de-Trumpification will be understood as justifying any measures necessary to erase Trump's policy legacy (such as it is) and to ensure “nothing like this” (i.e., a nationalist government) “ever happens again.” You can count on:
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
(a) a rollback of any and all immigration restrictions and an immediate end to any border walls (or other controls); (b) a rollback of reforms to the campus sexual tribunals under Title IX; (c) stepped-up pressure to force organizations to adopt anti-bias training in all forms;
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genesius Jun 26
and (d) stepped-up pressure on social media companies and web hosts to de-platform dissidents—by 2024, , , , and many others will be off Twitter and perhaps purged from the internet entirely.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Seventh, progressive “reforms” will emanate from every organ of the administrative state and from Congress. Most notably, you can be assured of a "Truth and Reconciliation" style commission to address the historical legacy of slavery. The result—reparations—is predetermined.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Eighth—and almost too obvious to say—is that reparations will be explained as a necessary but never sufficient step to reconciliation; indeed, you will be told that "nothing” can atone for the sin of slavery, so calls for expropriation will intensify, not diminish.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Ninth, Biden will begin at least one new major military conflict by 2024.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @wesyang
Tenth, any prediction that Biden's election will somehow moderate the zeal of today's "woke” vanguard will be proven wrong. Biden, manifestly suffering from dementia, will cede governance to cadres already steeped in ‘s Successor Ideology; things will get more oppressive.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @WokeCapital
Eleventh, the Biden Blowout indeed heralds a new, likely permanent ruling coalition: the marriage of monopoly capital (cc ) and their shock troops, the evangelical progressives (the “woke”), united against their common foe—the white middle class.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
The dynamic to watch is whether the new ruling coalition can manage the system's fundamental contradiction: that, for all the hate directed at whites, it is the quiet competence of white people (and especially white men) that keeps the lights on, literally and figuratively.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Will the evangelical progressives prove too emboldened and zealous to manage? Too thorough a purge of white people from institutions and organizations will hasten their collapse.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
But conversely, if not suppressed vigorously enough, white Americans may begin to think and act like the reviled minority they are rapidly becoming, paving the way for a figure even more formidable than Trump.
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genesius Jun 26
Replying to @gloamingwhale
Either way, for good or ill, the Biden Blowout will come to be seen, far more than the election of Trump, as the definitive end of the postwar American order, comparable to the end of the Roman Republican and birth of the empire.
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