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Gregg Carlstrom
Middle East correspondent, . Author, "How Long Will Israel Survive? The Threat From Within."
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Gregg Carlstrom 12h
Sanctions can work with broad support, realistic demands, and targets that are well-integrated into the world economy. American sanctions in the Middle East are often none of the above, which makes them effective only as bluster or box-ticking.
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Gregg Carlstrom 13h
"Also Friday, election officials concluded a recount in Milwaukee County, one of two Wisconsin counties where the Trump campaign paid a total of $3m for a review of the ballots. The result: Biden's lead in the state grew by 132 votes."
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Gregg Carlstrom 13h
"Iranian state television said a parked Nissan truck with explosives hidden under a load of wood blew up as Fakhrizadeh approached in a vehicle... five or six gunmen [then] emerged from a nearby vehicle and opened fire on his car."
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Gregg Carlstrom 23h
The assassination will complicate Biden's efforts to rejoin the JCPOA. But retaliation is also a delicate matter for Iran. Some will not want to preemptively blow up ties with the Biden administration; others will see a vindication of their hardline views.
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Replying to @pashulman
Yep. Whether or not Iran acquires a bomb is a political decision, not a technical one
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Because at no point in the past 20 years did he teach any of Iran's other nuclear scientists how to weaponize fissionable material? Or because he was the only guy with a key to the centrifuge room?
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Replying to @glcarlstrom
Last, these kinds of operations require reliable local assets. That they keep happening would seem to say a lot about the creakiness of the Iranian government.
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Replying to @glcarlstrom
Second, in terms of the JCPOA, worth remembering that Iran has a political calendar as well. Rouhani is out after the election in June. Couple that with a new administration in DC and it's unlikely there would be serious diplomacy until the second half of 2021 anyway.
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Few random thoughts on Fakhrizadeh, apart from the obvious (all tactics, no strategy). Though Iran may well want to respond, it's often not very good at it. One of the guys released in a prisoner swap this week blew off his own legs trying to attack Israeli diplomats in 2012.
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Replying to @AnshelPfeffer
Going to be a moment of cognitive dissonance for the neo-Nazi crowd
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Gregg Carlstrom retweeted
Bahman Kalbasi Nov 27
Statement by ’s Ministry of Defense confirms that top nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh has been killed in the attack that took place east of this morning.
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Replying to @TalaRamadan
Berri is new in this job, give him some time to accomplish his goals
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Would be very significant in terms of how Iran might respond (hard to imagine it wouldn't). Less so in terms of its impact on the nuclear program, which is institutionalized enough at this point to not depend on individuals
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 27
Macron's approach to Lebanon is basically to be that person who slides into your DMs every few weeks asking if you want to go for a drink and keeps at it even though you've never once replied
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 26
We've all had that one Thanksgiving when you thought you'd outgrown the kids table but the hosts had other ideas
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 26
Happy Thanksgiving from our Middle East bureau chief, who wants all future holidays to occur amidst a pandemic and a 5pm curfew because it means she gets to eat at the table
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 26
Amusingly, earlier this year, an Emirati official told me with a straight face that the UAE was "working with NATO" in Libya
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 26
I think this is the Middle East taking revenge for the gingerbread hummus by committing an absolute atrocity against Italian food
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Gregg Carlstrom Nov 26
Surprised it took until the last six weeks of 2020 to get a story about dead mink infected with a mutated strain of covid-19 rising from their graves
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