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daniel a. smith
political science professor; state politics scholar (direct democracy, voting, elections); cynic, skeptic, & part-time africanist; personal musings
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daniel a. smith retweeted
Matt Gaetz 10h
. has been a leader in the Florida Delegation and a true friend. I wish him well and I hope more people like Ted choose to run for Congress.
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daniel a. smith Dec 8
Replying to @fineout
Same here...
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daniel a. smith Dec 7
Correct. They must be mailed out 45 days before the election. Over 80% were not.
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daniel a. smith Dec 5
Happy to discuss our research with
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daniel a. smith Dec 5
Replying to @RedBlue2024 @FVAP and 2 others
Our has found over 80% of overseas ballots mailed out in FL before 2018 GE had delivery dates < the 45 day requirement before Election Day. Overseas civilian ballots missed the 45 day deadline more than military overseas, but SOEs failed both groups of voters.
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daniel a. smith retweeted
Joshua Karp Dec 4
All hail ! I believe we're talking about different things. Practically, we are focused on increasing the number of votes progressives get. If we update voters with out-of-date reg who cannot vote, that's a vote. If we register a guy from Ohio, that's also a vote.
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daniel a. smith Dec 4
Josh, during early voting, any registered voter, even inactive, may update his or her registration form and cast a regular ballot.
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daniel a. smith Dec 4
SOme SOEs are more aggressive than others in purging inactive voters from the roll, but they must go through a rigorous process, with many safeguards. I say this having served as the expert in the 2012 Arcia litigation when SOS Detzner wrongly tried to purge citizens. He lost.
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daniel a. smith Dec 4
Josh, reregistering a voter already registered in the state of Florida is not a new voter, regardless of inactive or active status. It's just updating the registration. This is completely different from registering a new FL resident from Ohio who is eligible to vote.
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daniel a. smith Dec 4
Ocala Council Blocks Winning Candidate From Office Over 33-Year-Old Felony Conviction, Delays Decision On Another Election via
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daniel a. smith retweeted
Steve Bousquet Nov 29
Another blow for 'sunshine' in Florida as state lawmakers want to hide where they live | Editorial
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daniel a. smith Dec 1
Always good to have a healthy skepticism... Gillum lays claim to 100K new Florida voters, but numbers don't add up
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daniel a. smith retweeted
ACLU of Florida Nov 28
Gov. DeSantis called Florida's Amendment 4 "a mistake" when he signed SB7066 into law in June. When a federal court returned voting rights to 17 denied under SB7066, his office said the ruling aligned with his position. Now, he's appealing the ruling.
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daniel a. smith retweeted
Matthew Isbell 🎄 Nov 25
Florida is like a star. The influx of retirees is like gravity - pushing down on the star - trying to shrink it The growing diversity of younger generations and migration is the expansive forces caused by the nuclear fusion at the core - fusing hydrogen to helium The balance
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daniel a. smith Nov 25
Nov 1. I use the actual statewide voter file, not what's on the state's website...
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daniel a. smith Nov 25
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daniel a. smith Nov 24
Replying to @tstaub
Unfortunately, neither are knowable with any degree of confidence.
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daniel a. smith Nov 24
Replying to @poliscigrl
Ask and you shall receive! 618k of those who registered after 2016 GE (and are still registered today in FL) voted in the 2018 GE. So, 50.75% turnout. Overall turnout in 2018 GE of those registered prior to the election and who are still registered today in FL was 60.4%
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daniel a. smith Nov 24
Replying to @Philanx
Of the 723k new registered NPAs since 2016 GE, 38% are 18-29, only 12% 65+. NPAs are disproportionately more likely to be young. They are also more likely to be Hispanics; 1/4 new NPAs are Hispanics.
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daniel a. smith Nov 24
Replying to @Julian_E_Santos
Virtually no newly registered voters in FL are registering as Ds only to vote Republican, the classic Dixiecrat. There has been an upsurge in NPAs in the Panhandle, which is drawing from R registrants. Will these new NPAs in the Panhandle vote for Trump anyway? We'll see...
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