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Dan Davies
Senior Research Advisor, Frontline Analysts. Economics, finance, jokes. Warning: often a high output feed.
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Dan Davies retweeted
Robert Everett Johnson 12h
"Sometimes you find out something about the country you live in that makes it appear little better than a corrupt, tinpot, banana republic."
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Dan Davies retweeted
Dan Davies Jan 11
Imagine Davos is a chatroom. Now, consider that such a chatroom would obviously have a secondary, invite only chatroom where the real players make plans and laugh at the idiots in the main chat. That's Bilderberg.
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Dan Davies 6h
Replying to @LadyFOHF
His "Day Tripper" is also fantastic. For a long time in the 00s this was the only CD I had in my car
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Dan Davies retweeted
Flying_Rodent 13h
Replying to @flying_rodent
I mean, maybe a victorious Labour government would immediately e.g. ally closely with Russia and invade Ukraine but until one does, there really is no valid debate *at all* over who the extremist is here.
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Dan Davies retweeted
Flying_Rodent 13h
I know you’re all bored of me saying things like “Waging elective wars on several countries with dubious justification is a good bit more Extreme than, say, writing pissy Guardian columns about foreign policy is,” but it is. It really is.
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Dan Davies retweeted
Tess Read 10h
Proving that and why cathedrals face the West and the setting sun. Beautiful light effects.
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Dan Davies retweeted
Tomsk 13h
Spot on. I worked through Labour's statements since the election and that seems to me the only logical reading of their position, unless they're literally lying:
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Dan Davies 15h
It's an open door - France and Germany want a realignment and Italy needs one. If we would just push on it, rather than frightening everyone with erratic internal politics.
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Dan Davies 16h
I think we're in violent agreement. Didn't mean to suggest it would be costless for services, just that they don't have the same catastrophic multiple-crossing issues.
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Dan Davies 16h
I'm more optimistic. I think that a UK side that was actually turning up and negotiating could surprise everyone with what's achievable. At the moment we're not worth bothering with.
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Dan Davies 16h
Given the extent to which that agglomeration works with outsourcing partners in India, I can't get to believe that it has supply chain issues with the EU border.
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Dan Davies 16h
I think all three of those issues can be fudged yes. Particularly if the "transition" period is long enough to fold the UK into the core-periphery realignment that EU needs anyway.
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Dan Davies 16h
What fin-IT things are you referring to? Something like Euronext Belfast? I don't agree that has supply chain issues like an auto manufacturer.
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Dan Davies 16h
I'm not writing them off - I used to work for a Swiss bank! I'm saying that a Swiss + style deal would be a sensible goal.
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Dan Davies 16h
In other words, Switzerland. It's hard to understand why so many people want to give more weight to "but in the 1980s and he wasn't very enthusiastic" than the actual policy.
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Dan Davies 16h
(I don't think you're right about "in either camp". The Labour policy is specifically aimed at market access, and to deliver the same benefits that we currently get from SM membership*) *EEA membership that is
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Dan Davies 16h
I'm calling for it to be in the contingency plan for what to do when Sir Keir Starmer takes over at DExEU in 2022, hopefully in an ongoing extension period. And in the meantime hoping Labour do in fact get in.
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Dan Davies 16h
I think we are in agreement then that FoM is not intrinsically politically unviable.
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Dan Davies 16h
Services don't have just-in-time supply chains and they're unlikely to reignite a civil war in Ireland. It will be annoying and expensive as hell to lose those markets but they're second order afaics
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Dan Davies 16h
Tbh when it comes to understanding EU and Eurogroup politics, I'm happy to stand on my track record.
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