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David Roberts
Seattleite transplanted from Tennessee; now blogging for about energy politics. Climate hawk, deficit dove. Not a doctor.
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David Roberts 3h
Replying to @DanAncona
Yes, now we just need every state to vote the GOP into a harmless, irrelevant rump party.
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David Roberts 3h
Replying to @drvox
12. Oops, meant to add one thing: alongside rising reactionary violence & zero-sum competition, a warming world will also accelerate the trend of hyper-inequality.
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David Roberts 3h
Replying to @elias_isquith
Man I really gotta see that. People keep saying.
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David Roberts 3h
Replying to @TomasWyns
Yyyyyup.
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David Roberts 3h
Replying to @2bigdoghouse
No one will use the accurate term and no one will have a sensible discussion.
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David Roberts 3h
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David Roberts 3h
Sounds pretty Old Media ...
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @dylanmatt @ryangrim
You are describing the actions of someone with a fundamentally different psychological infrastructure than me.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
11. Basically, this is future-of-the-species stuff, getting decided through a spectacle that's barely even able to break into the daily news cycle. And the next time around, there may not even be the pretense of democracy. We are truly headed into the shit. </fin>
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
10. If democratic means become impossible, what's left is violence. There may be some radical climate activists who think they're ready for that, but guess what? The reactionaries will always have more guns & fewer scruples. The forces of decency will never win that fight.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
9. That would mean the end of any chance of the US addressing climate change through peaceful, mutually beneficial, democratic means. Oregon Ds elected majorities, then super-majorities ... now they're supposed to accept that success is only possible if they vote EVERY R out?
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
8. The right will see that it worked & it will rapidly become standard practice, across states, maybe federally. (If you think the rules are different in different states, so it wouldn't work, you are still hung up on thinking rules matter.)
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
7. That's why the situation in Oregon is freaking me out. I thought we had at least a little time left in which the mechanisms of democracy could still work. But the fossil-funded white minority is openly, nakedly rejecting democracy & it looks like they'll get away with it.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @ryangrim
You don't know me.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
6. So the US is at a crucial juncture, one that reflects a larger global dynamic: the space for addressing climate change in a cooperative, mutually beneficial way is rapidly shrinking. From here on out, circumstances will bolster the forces of reaction.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
5. And be clear: as climate gets more & more chaotic, and the ambient sense of threat & uncertainty rises around the world, these kinds of reactionary responses will gain *more* public appeal, not less. Threat & uncertainty make everyone more conservative.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
4. Second, US conservatives will ramp up their demagoguery around "eco-terrorism." As it becomes clear that the GOP simply won't allow a small-d democratic solution, desperate young people are going to turn to direct action. The GOP will use that to justify repression.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
3. Collective action problems just don't sit well in the reactionary mind -- and non-zero-sum collective solutions are incomprehensible to it. However, a mad scramble of all-against-all, in which the powerful US can hoard & intimidate & come out ahead? That, reactionaries get.
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David Roberts 4h
Replying to @drvox
2. First, the US right will transition seamlessly from climate denialism to climate nationalism/fascism. They will acknowledge the threat & use it to justify exploiting US fossil fuel reserves, building walls, shutting down immigration, & passing punitive trade policies.
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David Roberts 4h
1. I'm gonna write a proper piece about this soon, but for now a quick thread on the direction of US conservative climate policy. I think over the next 10 years -- & probably much sooner -- we'll see two distinct trends.
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