Twitter | Search | |
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊
Cypriot/French/Stats/Finance/Economics/Cinephile/Troll level: 99/othernonsense lover. PHD Dauphine, Industrial Organization/game theory
2,763
Tweets
972
Following
3,201
Followers
Tweets
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 7m
Proposal: all countries should allow passport switching. If you can find someone in the country you want to live who wants to live in the country you live in, there should be the option to legally and immediately switch passports. Presumably this makes everyone better off?
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 10m
If someone takes more vacation this implies lower growth...? The common sense (which can be wrong) link is more vacation is less output... not less output GROWTH. Is there some backing to this or is it just political dunking?
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 23h
Something more specific?
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
Replying to @paulportesi
Well... it's supposed to make you uncomfortable. Which is challenging but I think that's what makes it interesting. It almost reveals your own weakness, but it's not clear if they are transitive to the real world, it does feel like they are though.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 retweeted
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Dec 5
Clive James, RIP My notes on his book *Cultural Amnesia*
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
Replying to @feyylmao
Consider it seen then :). Will check the pirate feeds tonight.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
Replying to @feyylmao
How is that possible? It isn't even out yet? Have you? Thoughts?
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
Replying to @diomavro
Some elements I think make a good horror/thriller. 1) An agent who has a real ethical dilemma (kill a potential innocent, conceal a terrible accident, pass on a curse, etc). 2) Supernatural rules are established in the first 30 minutes. 3) main characters permanently change
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
Good framing here: the ergodic transformation allows one to actually use the law of large numbers. Without it, we can't reason in expectation.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
Replying to @WoodardTeal
I have not seen those, but its quite tough to get the balance of ethical/dilemma suspense, aesthetic scenery exactly right. This kind of film flows together gradually building up the atmosphere, so a single bad scene can destroy the whole ambiance and lose the viewer.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 retweeted
Jean-Michel Glachant Dec 4
Sun was shining Charlotte Scouflaire was defending her PhD thesis at ⁦⁩ this afternoon β€˜β€™Power Capacity Mechanisms: 20 years assessed’’ It has been great Jury: ⁦⁩ C. Le Coq L. de Vries F. Roques P. Geoffron J-H Keppler Loved it!
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
Replying to @diomavro
With that in mind, here is my top 5 in the last 5 years, in descending order. Calibre (2018), the witch (2015), the hole in the ground (2019), Blackfoot trail (or Backcountry) (2014), It follows (2014), and honorary mentions: It comes at night (2017), the Ritual (2017).
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 5
I consider horror/thriller movies to be the category that has the most extreme noise/signal ratio. This is because it is the category that is least likely to be boring, so people conflate not being bored with quality film making, this means good films often go unnoticed.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 4
It may be too ambitious to explain why agent A prefers chocolate but agent B prefers vanilla. But it is much easier to find a theory about why the agents decision rules are what they are, they have to solve a specific problem, and growth is exactly such a problem.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 4
The question is not how to measure them but how to predict invidivual differences. If the variable you use to predict is not measurable, it means you are in the domain of philosophy/religion (which could have truth content but it is not empirical).
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 4
There are only incidental empirical correlations. If you have a reference you think explains why group A does X and group B does Y that is not tautological or subject to an infinite regress. Please share I would be very interested. /1
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 retweeted
Greg Egan Dec 3
You have a pack of 52 playing cards. β€’ Shuffle the cards. β€’ Pick a card at random. β€’ Note what it is. β€’ Return it to the deck. β€’ If you’ve now seen every card, you’re done. β€’ Otherwise, repeat. What is the expected number of cards picked, rounded to the nearest integer?
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 4
The link to physically measurable quantities is one way to break the infinite regress.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 4
The behavior of agent A is X, behavior of agent B is Y. How do you explain this variation? You HAVE to go outside of psychology, otherwise, it is circular. X is caused by Z=0 and Y by Z=1. If Z is psychological, then why the variation between people in Z? Link to physical break.
Reply Retweet Like
Dio Mavroyiannis 🌊 Dec 4
The problem of relying on psychology is that it doesn't get you answers about variation between people. If you want to be empirical you have to theorize about measurable quantities. Claiming the cause of something is "psychology" is like claiming it is not measurable.
Reply Retweet Like