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David Allen Green
The prehistory of those 58 Brexit sector analyses A thread to introduce a detailed post at /1
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Penny Stuart Nov 27
Have you seen Davis’s letter to Brexit Committee?
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @CommonsEUexit
Much of the commentary about those 58 sector analyses (which have been released in some form to the ) says that the reports were first mentioned in December 2016. But... /2
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @JackofKent
...the analyses were kicking about before then, and their "pre-history" is revealing about UK's preparations for Brexit. This thread will take the prehistory and early history of the analyses to June 2017, before linking to a detailed post at . /3
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @JackofKent
The analyses are first referred to in July 2016, in evidence taken shortly after the referendum. By September, new Brexit secretary David Davis refers to about "50 cross-cutting sectors". The "50-something" figure is established quite early. /4
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @JackofKent
Also back in September 2016, Davis is bullishly confident the 50 analyses will be completed *before" Article 50 is triggered. /5
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @JackofKent
Davis tells a Commons committee: "Because of the way the process is staged—data gathering at this stage, engagement at this stage, analysis later, policy design later after that, and so on—I don’t think we are going to have a problem [before A50]." (Hmm.) /6
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
The next month, another Brexit minister is again confident that they will be done pre-A50: "We are analysing over 50 sectors...so that we can establish what we consider to be the best possible terms for departure. That, of course, will inform our negotiation once it starts." /7
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
Also in October 2016, a third Brexit minister tells the Lords that the analyses are in a manageable format: "It is an attempt to try to get this into a manageable format so that we can analyse what Brexit might mean for those particular sectors. " /8
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Paul Wright Nov 27
Quite a long letter to say “F you and the horse (countryy) you rode in on, now F off”. should be ashamed
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
By early December 2016, the analyses had become "extensive", with Davis telling the Commons: "...we are carrying out an extensive programme of sectoral analysis on the key factors that affect our negotiations with the European Union". /9
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When is Christmas Yvonne this year? A Sunday. Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
This is just they way a bullshitting kid behaves when he hasn't done his homework!
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
Davis then again asserts that all the analysis will be in place before the Article 50 notification: "This is a single-shot negotiation, so we must get it right, and we will get it right by doing the analysis first and the notification second. I will do that." /10
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Paul Wright Nov 27
And again we are back to the question - if there are no impact studies, why arent there? Why havent you been doing your job of preparing for ? A resigning matter if true.
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
Just to emphasise, in December 2016, Davis said: "we will get it right by doing the analysis first and the notification second" The analysis was to be complete before A50 notification. "single-shot" /11
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
Also in December 2016 we learn there are 57 analyses, that they include analyses of both regional and national data, and that they cover 85% of the economy. /12
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Ruth McAvinia Nov 27
What do you make of all the vilifying of Ireland that’s going on? I’m a bit confused by it all, and sickened that it strengthens nationalism in general and republicanism in particular.
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
The government adds text to the Commons motion on A50: "confirms that there should be no disclosure of material that could be reasonably judged to damage the UK in any negotiations to depart from the European Union after Article 50 has been triggered". /13
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
The Labour front bench nod-along with the A50 motion. The government then uses that motion as a pretext not to disclose any information. The government appoints itself the "reasonable judge" on disclosure. /14
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David Allen Green Nov 27
Replying to @davidallengreen
By January 2017, the government is regularly bigging up the analyses. In Commons questions, ministers routinely cite the analyses as meeting MPs' concerns. /15
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