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daniel f stone
@
d_f_stone
Brunswick, Maine, USA
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Behavioral-ish econ guy. Interests = beliefs, sports, media, disagreement, session DIPAs. Trying to make the world a little more Bayesian. mediatrades.org.
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3.671
Tweetovi
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1.273
Pratim
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1.143
Osobe koje vas prate
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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21 h |
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Students (and non-students):
It's ok to say you don't know what something means or don't understand something.
Watch 1st 15 seconds of this clip. Everyone should ask questions with this much confidence. twitter.com/bzcohen/status…
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Jonathan Ladd
@jonmladd
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22 h |
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Print this out and tape it to your fridge. twitter.com/dziblatt/statu…
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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5. velj |
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👍👍🤙
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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5. velj |
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opinion that (imho) should be a lot more popular:
Believing another person or group of people is morally bad when they're not (or at least not much worse than most of us) is itself morally bad.
Doing this doesn't make us bad people either but does mean we could be better.
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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5. velj |
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Good q. I'd say mostly resolved for controlled shot ('lab' and free throw) data. Heterogeneity but there is substantial HH effect on avg, & some shooters get very hot. FG data from games is/are :) so messy that even with improved data I think there's no clear understanding yet.
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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5. velj |
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Tversky et al 1985 would say ditto, but most of us nowadays of course think they got it wrong.
@KingJames, check out @jben0's @ConversationUS piece scientificamerican.com/article/moment… & @bzcohen's forthcoming book ("The Hot Hand: The Mystery and Science of Streaks"
harpercollins.com/9780062820723/…)! twitter.com/kylegoon/statu…
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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5. velj |
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is the point that you did well without going to many conferences? if so - cool!
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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5. velj |
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trustworthy is correlated with boring? 🤪🤔
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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Thanks Reade Brower (the media mogul of Maine! nytimes.com/2017/11/26/bus…) for your column on Media Trades!
knox.villagesoup.com/p/the-young-th…
cc @MaineLisaD
ps: thread on research support for Media Trades below... twitter.com/d_f_stone/stat…
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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@kthom25964167, you might be able to help with this?
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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ha - guess Kahneman was wrong or times have changed (this is from intro to Thinking, F and S) pic.twitter.com/tLe2LwigCQ
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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started before 81 I think! (House voting networks, from
journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…) pic.twitter.com/BslimfveVR
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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Suggested headline: "Details unknown but, yeah like we all expected, it was basically a 4-way tie"
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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Thanks @janzilinsky, good call. Here are relevant parts of @dhopkins1776's piece and some of his links
cambridge.org/core/books/pos…
academic.oup.com/poq/article/83…
academic.oup.com/poq/article/82… pic.twitter.com/uOxGnJV6wd
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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Great book, I use the intro game theory ch in my econ 101 class and auctions chapter in my game theory class, open access link here-
cs.cornell.edu/home/kleinber/… twitter.com/ben_golub/stat…
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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Go factory production output!
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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4. velj |
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Hmm, nice point - like commitment devices we didn’t know we needed - maybe should be a term for this
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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3. velj |
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yeah I think they do got some game :). but not sure if would have been enough to compensate for starting in the back...
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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3. velj |
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& not just sports commentaries of course :)
Great illustration of 'randomness neglect', such an important over-arching bias. Order and 'skill' (ball characteristics) matter too probably but agree randomness is key.
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daniel f stone
@d_f_stone
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3. velj |
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Reminder that where you start usually affects where you finish (spoiler alert, turquoise starts and ends in 1st). twitter.com/page_eco/statu…
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