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daniel f stone
Behavioral-ish econ guy. Interests = beliefs, sports, media, disagreement, session DIPAs. Trying to make the world a little more Bayesian. .
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daniel f stone 21 h
Students (and non-students): It's ok to say you don't know what something means or don't understand something. Watch 1st 15 seconds of this clip. Everyone should ask questions with this much confidence.
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daniel f stone proslijedio/la je tweet
Jonathan Ladd 22 h
Print this out and tape it to your fridge.
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daniel f stone 5. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @ketchman
👍👍🤙
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daniel f stone 5. velj
opinion that (imho) should be a lot more popular: Believing another person or group of people is morally bad when they're not (or at least not much worse than most of us) is itself morally bad. Doing this doesn't make us bad people either but does mean we could be better.
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daniel f stone 5. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @randomguy1959 @KingJames i 3 ostali
Good q. I'd say mostly resolved for controlled shot ('lab' and free throw) data. Heterogeneity but there is substantial HH effect on avg, & some shooters get very hot. FG data from games is/are :) so messy that even with improved data I think there's no clear understanding yet.
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daniel f stone 5. velj
Tversky et al 1985 would say ditto, but most of us nowadays of course think they got it wrong. , check out 's piece & 's forthcoming book ("The Hot Hand: The Mystery and Science of Streaks" )!
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daniel f stone 5. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @JukeBaRosh
is the point that you did well without going to many conferences? if so - cool!
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daniel f stone 5. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @TheAnnaGat
trustworthy is correlated with boring? 🤪🤔
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Thanks Reade Brower (the media mogul of Maine! ) for your column on Media Trades! cc ps: thread on research support for Media Trades below...
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @jimmahar @kthom25964167
, you might be able to help with this?
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @devinwburdo
ha - guess Kahneman was wrong or times have changed (this is from intro to Thinking, F and S)
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @oliverbeige @janzilinsky i 2 ostali
started before 81 I think! (House voting networks, from )
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Suggested headline: "Details unknown but, yeah like we all expected, it was basically a 4-way tie"
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @oliverbeige @janzilinsky i 2 ostali
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Great book, I use the intro game theory ch in my econ 101 class and auctions chapter in my game theory class, open access link here-
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @oliverbeige
Go factory production output!
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daniel f stone 4. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @ben_golub
Hmm, nice point - like commitment devices we didn’t know we needed - maybe should be a term for this
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daniel f stone 3. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @oliverbeige
yeah I think they do got some game :). but not sure if would have been enough to compensate for starting in the back...
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daniel f stone 3. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @page_eco
& not just sports commentaries of course :) Great illustration of 'randomness neglect', such an important over-arching bias. Order and 'skill' (ball characteristics) matter too probably but agree randomness is key.
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daniel f stone 3. velj
Reminder that where you start usually affects where you finish (spoiler alert, turquoise starts and ends in 1st).
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