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Gavin Schmidt
Climate scientist, occasional juggler, even more occasional author, curious about how the world works.
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Gavin Schmidt 2h
Replying to @PatrickTBrown31
Just to be clear, this is my estimate not the agency’s.
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Gavin Schmidt 23h
Replying to @davidappell
it's based on the historical relationship between YTD and the annual mean, plus a conditioning for what Nino34 might be doing at the end of the year.
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
Thanks. I find FOIA law endlessly fascinating (having been on both ends)...
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
also the author on a piece criticizing people for calling BS on what turned out to be total BS.
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
is it? I thought the Bureau of Nat'l Affairs (1984) case was exactly about that. With some minor modifications from CFA (2006)...
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
“Everything that you see is conditioned on this long-term trend,” Schmidt says. “I work for NASA, but it’s not rocket science.”
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
Replying to @mikarantane
Rossby waves that can't produce their own insulin?
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
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Gavin Schmidt retweeted
Rick Gaehl Aug 14
Worth signing this maybe? I just did.
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
Replying to @ElJayces
The Paris accord levels are for long-term stablized climate, not a single year, or even a decade. However, unless emissions are reduced substantially such an occurrance is likely to presage more of the same.
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 14
With July data in, we are still predicting a ~70% of a new record for the GISTEMP annual mean. Odds are a little less should a medium to strong La Niña develop in the fall. It is certain to be a top 5 yr & to be the 6th year in a row more than 1°C warmer than the late 19th C.
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Gavin Schmidt retweeted
Domenico Aug 13
Latest NASA’s Juno 🛰 spacecraft flyby of Jupiter Credit : Credit: NASA / JPL / SwRI / MSSS / SPICE / Gerald Eichstädt
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Gavin Schmidt retweeted
Blair Palese 🌎 Aug 13
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 13
Whether you knew about Joan Feynman or not, her obit is worth reading. She was a frequent attendee at the SORCE team workshops, a fount of knowledge on solar topics and a charming dinner companion. She also once worked at ...
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 13
Replying to @ClimateOfGavin
If anyone cares, the answer to whether pre-columbian bison produced more methane than present day cattle in the US is no. (There were slightly more bison, but they produce much less CH4 per head):
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 13
ICYMI there was a House hearing on air pollution and fossil fuels last week featuring Drew Shindell and using new results from the climate and air quality model. Good commentary here from
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David Roberts Aug 12
My new post: the latest research on air pollution is jaw-dropping. Scientists now believe its effects on health & mortality are roughly *double* previous estimates. If that’s true, air-quality benefits alone will easily pay for the clean-energy transition.
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 12
Replying to @AndrewDessler
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 12
Replying to @AndrewDessler
From Maduro and Schumacher (and there’s more in there too):
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Gavin Schmidt Aug 12
All forecasts are projections (contingent on certain actions that may or may not occur). None are counterfactual (since we don't know what actions will be taken). Counterfactuals are best reserved for hindcasts under different conditions than actually occurred.
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