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Christian Smith
Demystifying the wireless industry at ()
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Christian Smith 3. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Plinz
Reporting estimated cases also has a lot of issues. It's very hard to quickly interpret an estimate in this scenario--need to know how estimates are formed, and that's time consuming.
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Christian Smith 3. velj
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Plinz
Maybe. Most epidemiologists won't conflate the number of confirmed cases with the number of actual cases. Even with other diseases, it's common for these numbers to be much different.
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Patrick McKenzie 30. sij
In the classiest bit of fast food marketing possibly ever: Left: McDonalds in Akihabara announces it is closing after 22 years. Right: Burger King thanks them for 22 years of friendly rivalry and bringing smiles to the neighborhood.
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Christian Smith 29. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Meaningness
Great intro David, nice work! Especially liked this bit:
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Christian Smith 24. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Noahpinion
What if we just find it exciting?
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Abdel Abdellaoui 22. sij
"If everyone smoked 20 cigarettes a day, then case-control & cohort studies would lead us to conclude that lung cancer is a genetic disease" From this interesting piece on "sick individuals and sick populations": How would mental health fit into this?
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Christian Smith 22. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @robinhanson
By the same logic, shouldn't people who don't want to die put much more effort into eating healthy, exercising, and finding religion?
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Christian Smith 17. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @naval @mvpispi @AndrewYang
Statistical significance may not be the right tool w/ probabilities that come from a betting market, but FWIW, there's decent trading volume on people like Yang. I don't think someone putting a small bet on Yang would have a substantive effect the odds Betfair gives him.
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Christian Smith 17. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @naval @mvpispi @AndrewYang
I don't think the question here is about statistical significance as much as how rational the market is for fringe candidates. There are entities that do polling on this sort of question, I thing Yang fairs pretty well in those polls.
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Christian Smith 7. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @EconTalker
I'm more sympathetic to the original commenter here. I felt that he was saying this is an imperfection of markets (not proof that markets don't work). In many domains, being a well-informed consumer comes with high opportunity costs. Those high costs have consequences.
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Christian Smith 7. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @mikeddano
I don't really understand the physics or engineering involved, but it seems much more plausible that satellite connections would supplement cellular coverage rather than replace cellular entirely.
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Christian Smith 1. sij
One of the best comics of all time
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Christian Smith 15. pro
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Noahpinion
No it's not. Free daycare is one thing. Having a school system that isn't sure whether its primary purpose is education or daycare leads to a whole bunch of unnecessary boredom and suffering for kids.
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Christian Smith 15. pro
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Noahpinion
Subsidized, optional childcare after school seems like a hell of a lot better option (and could take place in school buildings). Seems way better than forcing kids to spend more time doing things many of them don't want to do.
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Christian Smith 13. pro
Odgovor korisniku/ci @PeterZeihan
Could you similarly frame all trade deals as bribes? Does the short-term nature of this deal make it more bribe-like?
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Christian Smith 13. pro
Odgovor korisniku/ci @BachmannRudi @albrgr
For what it's worth, I think you might be underappreciating how easy it is to read what you wrote in the non-charitable way. I had to re-read your tweet several times before the charitable interpretation seemed remotely plausible.
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Stewart Brand 8. pro
”97% of the observable Universe is already unreachable from Earth, even for an explorer setting out today and travelling at the speed of light.”
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Patrick McKenzie 5. pro
Odgovor korisniku/ci @patio11
I think people scandalously underrate the Internet. I think *I* probably scandalously underrate the Internet, even though I will likely write an essay about taking the Internet seriously. We got the best cheat code ever vis-a-vis prior generations but it's considered frivolous.
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Alexander Berger 27. stu
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Ben DiFrancesco 19. stu
“We’re doing AI on The Blockchain”
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