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Charlie Bilello
S&P 500 entered the day at one of its most extreme oversold levels in history. From similar extremes since 2001: stocks were higher 100% of the time 1 year later with an avg return of 23%.
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doberman489 Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
23% one year later is good.
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brigadir Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
where's the data in the yellow line?
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Alphonse Soued Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
this is all 2002, 2008 so mostly just 2 data points. and 1 for 2011, so 3 data points
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Asieh Mansour آسیه Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
Now you are talking....
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David González Dec 26
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Roy Topol Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
But amazingly, lower 3 months later, on average.
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Alphonse Soued Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
I wrongly sounded critical. Didn’t mean to. Thanks for sharing the data. I think the bigger takeaway is that we are at extreme bear mkt levels like 02,08,11. Might take a few more months of final bottom. But end up higher in 1+ years.
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🔥V™®🔥🦅 Dec 26
Investors usually forget extended history. It will end miserably bad for all these people.
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GlobalNews Dec 26
So you’re saying we are back to a bull market again??
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Scott Q Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
The Forever Bull
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Homerj14 Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
Thanks really interesting, looks like best to wait 3 months though
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Alan Steel Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
🤞
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John Jacobs Dec 26
Really???
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Lawrence A. Sautter Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
It looks like we have ~ 6 months time to get back into the markets again?
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Nick Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
So are you saying we will be up over 20 percent a year from now give or take?
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Sasuke Math Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
Its time to buy stock, right bro
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alex Dec 26
I am only here to see if anybody wanna thank obama for todays rally
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alex Dec 26
If it seems too good to be true, then it's too good to be true. Stock markets take the elevator down and the escalator up. Gains in rallies like this always get wiped out through retests of previous low before resuming the uptrend.
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Paul Claireaux Dec 26
Replying to @charliebilello
Great Stats but as others here note - the 3 month picture is grim AND this whole period is one in which investors grew to rely on central bank 'puts' ... No more me thinks. ( I assume this type of data isn't available over an extended period? )
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