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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘
Economically progressive, socially neoliberal. Landlocked Elitist. Legality โ‰  Morality. Views are my own, obviously
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ retweeted
Joe Biden 11h
Iโ€™m Joe Biden and I approve this message.
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ 9h
Itโ€™s worth noting that Clintonโ€™s vote share in every swing state in 2016 was higher than her final 538 polling average. (It was by only 0.1% in WI and 0.5% in NC) So Biden can feel pretty good about his chances in any state where he is polling at 49+%
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ 9h
538 has Biden at 49.8% (+7.7)
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ 20h
Replying to @TennisPodcast
Gold is a necklace. Black is a choker.
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ 20h
Replying to @mattyglesias
Increasing viability of work from home hopefully leads to more liberals moving to rural states
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ 21h
This is not a response to my query across many dimensions
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ 21h
Is there any historical example of โ€œmoderate D loses to R then progressive D beats that same Rโ€? Or is this completely theoretical?
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ 21h
Georgia
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ retweeted
Caitlin Gibson Sep 18
On a purely human level, I feel so deeply sad that a single 87-year-old woman had to carry the weight of a nationโ€™s future on her shoulders right to the very last breath she took. No one should have to bear such an extraordinary burden.
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ retweeted
Hemant Mehta Sep 18
He's quoting Mitch McConnell from 2016. Verbatim.
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
Replying to @BudgetBen
Kudlowโ€™s a decent looking guy for his age, but I wouldnโ€™t call him a model
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
Hey Siri, show me "too little, too late"
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
PredictIt has 19%, 538 has 13%. I would say those are chances.
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
Mainly I was just point out that there were modelers that had 99%. Worth noting that HuffPost had 98% as well
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
As you can read in the article I linked, 93% is because they changed the error margin in their model right before the election. The forecast said 98 or 99% for most of October and the first few days of Nov
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
Updated their forecast at the last minute to end up at โ€œonlyโ€ 93%
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
Look up
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
Replying to @riccoja @cojobrien
I think that is pretty consistent with Biden at 58% to win the EC.
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ Sep 18
Replying to @dhmontgomery
Horseshoe theory?
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Comfortably Shrug ๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿฅ‘ retweeted
Rex Chapman๐Ÿ‡๐Ÿผ Sep 17
North Dakota: The first openly-elected lesbian in the state stands up to a group of homophobes over the Pride Flag being flown at city hall. Carrie Evans for the win and with a mic drop...
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