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Blair Reeves
Director of Product at . Husband and dad, author and blogger. Don't skip leg day. Esse quam videri. Creator of
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Blair Reeves 2 min
Remember when Bernieworld freaked out that the DNC was making copies of all of the caucus worksheets? It wasn't a big conspiracy, you gullibles. They wanted to preserve a paper trail for later verification!
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Blair Reeves 6 min
Odgovor korisniku/ci @donaldball @averyj
It's completely fair to heavily discount polling this far out. But in that case, how do you objectively measure base enthusiasm? You can't. Bernie's supposed army of supporters hasn't shown up for elections in the past, or in IA. Maybe they will in NH, but if not...
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Blair Reeves 59 min
Don’t vote your enthusiasms. Vote for winning candidates.
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Blair Reeves 1 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @Pinboard
Likewise, this mindset that “my way or the highway” wins elections - at least as a Democrat.
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Blair Reeves 1 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @mpusto
When they discover a technology to create software outside of the SFBA, look out!
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Blair Reeves 2 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @mpusto
95% of that stuff is pure in-group connections.
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Blair Reeves proslijedio/la je tweet
Nick Riccardi 2 h
Bloomberg outpacing Sanders among black voters (w/in margin obv but still 👀)
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Blair Reeves 2 h
I would qualify this. I see tons of SV people suddenly talking about how huge remote is getting - and yeah, it's growing. But ask folks outside SV looking for remote gigs, and they'll tell you they're still extremely rare, hard to find, harder to land.
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Blair Reeves 3 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @BlairReeves
Follow-up: 😂😂😂😂 Also, apparently this guy is also into Q*non, which is also pretty par for the course.
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Blair Reeves 3 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @donaldball @averyj
There is solid evidence that Biden is our strongest candidate this fall. He doesn't hurt the downticket and might even be a bonus. I know this isn't what a lot of folks want to hear. You know I'm a huge Warren fan, but if she isn't going to be viable...
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @averyj @donaldball
You're pinning a lot of hopes in polls taken almost a year before the election - and yeah, there's good evidence here that Biden is the stronger candidate. I get that Biden's not exciting, but I'm quickly coming around to the POV that he's our guy.
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @averyj @donaldball
Look, I admit that there's a lot of uncertainty about all of this. Maybe I'm wrong. No one really knows for sure. But what I'll tell you is absolutely no Democrat running in a remotely tight race in NC wants Bernie at the top of the ticket. It's poison. It costs us seats.
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @averyj @donaldball
I see Democrats in 2020 as being more competitive in NC than ever before - there's been massive influx of Dem-heavy new voters. Part of the whole trajectory. But Bernie is incredibly polarizing, and he's not gonna pull it off here.
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @averyj @donaldball
Roy - basically the definition of a moderate, folksy Dem - won a squeaker by like 10,000 votes statewide here in 2016. Does anyone seriously think that an elderly, curmudgeonly northeastern self-described socialist... improves on that?
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @averyj @donaldball
HRC basically repeated BHO's 2012 turnout performance and we lost in a 1-in-5 fluke. It wasn't a bad showing, even if we need to improve. What I'm saying is: does anyone seriously think *Bernie* improves on HRC's performance? How? Where?
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @donaldball @averyj
Remember: there is no "lose the popular vote, win the EC" math out there for Democrats.
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @donaldball @averyj
Do you really want to pin our hopes on a 2016 Trump-like fluke happening a second time?
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @averyj
Some of them, yes. But different degree. And he won a clear majority of primary voters.
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Blair Reeves 4 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @mattyglesias
Who’s going to tell them about Barack Obama
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Blair Reeves 5 h
Odgovor korisniku/ci @BenjySarlin
Except no evidence of the massive turnout, much less by young/independents, that we were promised.
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