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Bill James Online
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Bill James Online 2h
Replying to @pjyankeeedved
Pretty sure that doesn't mean shit to a tree.
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Bill James Online 5h
Replying to @StaceGots
If I had a house that nice I would never leave it.
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Bill James Online 6h
There will be a movie about him. It will be called "Door Hunter".
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Bill James Online 7h
Replying to @PhilOfSports
If you can work out all of the math related to that problem, you're quite a bit smarter than I am.
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Bill James Online 14h
Replying to @PhilOfSports
These unknowns justified people who WANTED to make risky bets in making them.
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Bill James Online 14h
Replying to @PhilOfSports
Miscalculation of the values. People generally--including myself--are bad at intuitive math, and there are a lot of unknown percentages inherent in the problem. We don't really KNOW what the odds are that a given 21-year-old prospect will be a ++ player in 5 years.
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Bill James Online 15h
Replying to @billjamesonline
Trading your best prospects for a half-season rental is not a great percentage move, but when teams stop doing it, people think there is something wrong with them because they are no longer as foolish as they used to be.
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Bill James Online 15h
In baseball, when teams stop acting irrationally, it's a news story. Signing pretty-good-but-not-great 32-year-olds to long-term contracts was a horrible investment, but when teams suddenly stopped doing it this year, people thought it was a conspiracy. /
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Replying to @shoewizard59
No doubt. One generation has taught another for 100 years that platoon differential is an individual thing, that batting avg. vs. left and right in a season, for a player, is a meaningful thing. It will take 100 years to get people to understand that 99% of the time it isn't.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
As I understand it, the idea of politics used to be that you advance your agenda through finding things you agree on?
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Michael Kay--who is a great announcer--says that Didi does not get neutralized against a left-hander. In reality, his career OPS is .767 against right-handers, .650 against lefties. The platoon differential isn't an individual variable; it's just part of the game.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Replying to @txflopwdg
Belt's career OPS is actually 34 points higher at home than on the road. Posey is 42 points lower at home. Seager is 81 points lower at home.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Nobody in baseball is hurt worse by the park he plays in than Kyle Seager. On the road, he's a great player. In Seattle he's a #8 hitter. Every year.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Replying to @tcolabelli @jaysonst
At the start of a season, the ranking is based 100% on previous seasons, of course. By the end of the season 2/3 of the ranking is based on the current season. Where we are now, about 37% is based on current season.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Replying to @tcolabelli @jaysonst
Sale's been in 6 all star games; deGrom has been in one. That would be one obvious example.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Replying to @benkoch44
He's 8th at the moment.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
There is a cardinal at the highest point of the roof on the house next to me, trying to twitch all its feathers and dry itself out after the rain. I feel like I should pay it $5 for the show.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
It was a beautiful rain, wasn't it? Noodles & Co. has a great corner to watch a storm. .. .big windows on all sides. Window seats at Merchants are great.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Replying to @wovenstrap
Bauer pushed Greinke out of the Top 10.
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Bill James Online Jun 19
Replying to @DawerKS
Eduardo is currently 48th, up from 76th at the start of the season. He is pitching great right now and will probably continue to move up, but he'd have to go deeper in the game to reach the top 20.
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