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Megan McArdle
Yeah, the most optimistic story is that all the "I'm voting for a woman come hell or high water" voters went to Klobuchar, and the rest will got to Sanders if she withdraws. But I'm not sure I believe it.
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Adam Swinson Feb 11
Replying to @asymmetricinfo
Do you just make up Dem voters in your head? The "I'm voting for a woman come hell or high water" seems like something that doesn't really exist but something around which you'd love to craft a column.
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Megan McArdle Feb 12
Replying to @AdamSwinson
You should read my column on Klobuchar, in which I quote some of the voters who told me just that!
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Harry E Williamson Feb 11
Replying to @asymmetricinfo
Candidate support is only loosely tied to ideology.
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TheContentiousOtter Feb 11
Replying to @asymmetricinfo
I doubt that Sanders would get all of Warren's support. I think part of Sanders' under-performance has to do with the disgusting behaviors of his incel and gamer bro supporters.
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SecondSkonnanEmpireComputer Feb 11
Replying to @asymmetricinfo
We tend to overconstrain the "where will X's supporters go when he/she withdraws" calculation. People's *first* choice is sometimes a bit random and unpredictable. Their second and even third choice is likely to be even more so.
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David States Feb 11
Replying to @asymmetricinfo
Bernie has a moderate number of committed supporters and a large number of committed No’s. IA/NH seem like his ceiling
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Paul Brassey Feb 11
Replying to @asymmetricinfo
NH Democrats had on the ballot two senators from neighboring states, both “woke”, deeply into identity politics, and promising steep tax increases. Combined, they received thus far 35.3% of the vote. In other words, 64.7 of them preferred someone else.
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