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Aaron David Miller
VP & Distinguished Fellow, Woodrow Wilson Center. CNN Global Affairs Analyst and fmr. Middle East analyst/negotiator under Republican/Democratic Administrations
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Aaron David Miller 1h
Replying to @MaxAbrahms
With 2,000 troops and 7 FSOs they could stay for a decade and not put Humpty Dumpty back together again.
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Aaron David Miller 2h
Replying to @lrozen
There's nothing to indicate other than chatter that Trump intends to turn the anti-ISIS campaign into an anti-Iranian or anti- Assad one. But... we're only a year in.
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Aaron David Miller 3h
Replying to @maggieNYT
First Trump is mentally ill; now he's physically ill. Both let him off the hook. He needs to be judged by his actions -- and a year in he lacks character, capacity and has debased the presidency; public service and the very values/institutions of the nation he presumes to lead.
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Aaron David Miller 4h
Replying to @ChrisCuomo
Cuomo, you're the man. Fact is if accurate, it's about time we start talking to North Korea instead of about North Korea.
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Aaron David Miller 5h
Replying to @tcwittes @FridaGhitis
Just a girl looking at a computer she said. That's like saying Cal Ripken played a few games in a row.
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Aaron David Miller 5h
Replying to @tcwittes @FridaGhitis
Hope so. You are the best.
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Aaron David Miller 5h
Replying to @FridaGhitis @tcwittes
I like and respect Condi but please no more Freedom Agendas. As for our defense of human rights, when was last time the US actually altered the internal governance abuses and repressive practices of another country?
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Aaron David Miller 5h
Replying to @tcwittes @FridaGhitis
Ok give it to me straight. What do you want Trump to do about Syria or even say about Syria. Be the unObama?
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Aaron David Miller 6h
Replying to @tcwittes @FridaGhitis
What did I miss? quite a lot I suspect. You aren't talking about Tillerson's speech but the tick tock afterwards?
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Aaron David Miller 6h
Replying to @lrozen
Here we go again. Kerry Redux? Diddled by the Russians -- again. Question -- will 2,000 US troops and 7 FSOs give the US more leverage?.
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Aaron David Miller 6h
Replying to @FridaGhitis @tcwittes
Ladies, I know what I think. But if the knock is that we've abandoned human rights and not acting is the norm not the exception for US policy, (see Bosnia), then blast the predecessors too. See Obama on Syria.
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Aaron David Miller 6h
Replying to @tcwittes
Tamara: I ask this question because you're one of the coolest and smartest heads we have. What if we just talk and don't act? Because w/rare exception in face of almost every mass killing from the Nazi Holocaust to Cambodia; Rwanda; Darfur; Congo; Syria, that's what we've done.
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Aaron David Miller 6h
Replying to @jacobkornbluh
Remember, Jacob. The 1995 Embassy Act says nothing about moving the Embassy; it says take steps to open an Embassy. So.... my take is depending how things go on the much maligned and still non-existent peace process, Trump might very well open an Embassy in symbolic fashion.
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Aaron David Miller 7h
Replying to @John_Hudson
Big difference between words and deeds, John. US would need to confront Russia and Iran. And then run risk of getting stuck w/check on Syria once Assad goes. Not sure Trump will have any of it. Remember, it's Tillerson talking.
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Aaron David Miller 7h
Replying to @blakehounshell
Talked to John on twitter. The headline was misleading and replaced. Still reminded of Stalin's quote: How many divisions does Pope have. If Trump wants Assad gone, hell have to go through Russians or change their view of Assad. And that might mean getting stuck w/check for Syria
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Aaron David Miller 7h
is one smart dude But unless Tillerson gave a stealth speech, saw no indication that Trump is ready to take on Iran and Russia on the way to removing Assad from power.
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Aaron David Miller 7h
Replying to @macaronjoe
makes sense
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Aaron David Miller 7h
Replying to @aarondmiller2
3. The differences: Stay in Syria for a very long time with 2,000 forces and less than 20 FSOs. But without any illusions that the US is a major player (See Iran, Russia, Turkey) or that the US intends to be involved in serious way in putting Humpty-Dumpty back together again.
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Aaron David Miller 7h
Replying to @aarondmiller2
2. The Same: Other worldly goals without will/capacity to achieve them; Assad must go -- gentle version; Work with Russians on the Geneva process (even though they know what they're doing and we don't); talk about diminishing Iranian influence; but not really. No nation building.
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Aaron David Miller 7h
1. The Tillerson speech on Syria. To the extent it actually represents Trump's views, What are the similarities and differences between Obama's Syria policy and Trump's?
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