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@XiXiDu | |||||
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How to update on AI news? axisofordinary.tumblr.com/post/185886194…
Recent machine learning breakthroughs are evidence we should take into account to update our expectations of how imminent artificial general intelligence is. But how much exactly?
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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16. velj |
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Autonomous driving is possible because it is sufficiently well-defined (more like playing chess than gardening) and real-world feedback loops are cheap enough (cars don't need to position and climb ladders while holding hedge trimmers in ever-changing environments).
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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17. velj |
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An explanation I haven't thought of: it's the military–industrial complex 🤔 twitter.com/bengoertzel/st…
AI that can solve diseases is probably also good at inventing them and defending against enemy bioweapons. An AI that can teach children can also teach soldiers.
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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17. velj |
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"...either you can get enormous amounts of data, or learning low order correlations well is enough to solve your problem. These cases include many games with well defined rules, many physical tasks where exact simulations are feasible..." overcomingbias.com/2017/03/better…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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26. velj |
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Humans Who Are Not Concentrating Are Not General Intelligences srconstantin.wordpress.com/2019/02/25/hum…
This post is related to what I wrote in a previous tweet on why natural language generation is easier than math.
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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25. ožu |
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Tech companies should stop pretending AI won’t destroy jobs technologyreview.com/s/610298/tech-…
"It will soon be obvious that half our tasks can be done better at almost no cost by AI. This will be the fastest transition humankind has experienced, and we’re not ready for it."
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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26. tra |
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Google AI system proves over 1200 mathematical theorems mathscholar.org/2019/04/google…
"When they applied their software to a set of 3217 new theorems that it had not yet seen, it succeeded in proving 1251, or 38.9%."
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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27. tra |
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Rich nations urged to prepare workers for age of automation ft.com/content/f64089…
"McKinsey’s analysis of the labour force in eurozone countries found that low-skilled and low-paying jobs were at the greatest risk of automation." pic.twitter.com/U4i7Hn7Xkz
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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28. tra |
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“I just helped set up a factory that had 70% fewer workers than one even a few years ago would have had, and most of them are high-end technicians on laptops. I have no idea what normal people are going to do in a few years.” yang2020.com/blog/wonp-intr…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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18. svi |
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Rodney Brooks reminds us that level-5 autonomous driving is harder than what people who listen to Elon Musk think. twitter.com/rodneyabrooks/…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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5. lip |
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Google's Waymo CEO: ‘Level 5’ fully-autonomous vehicles will never exist medium.com/s/story/self-d…
It will take decades for self-driving cars to become common on roads, and even then they will not be able to drive in certain conditions.
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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11. srp |
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The AI Timelines Scam lesswrong.com/posts/KnQs55tj…
"AI projects are more impactful if it is, in fact, possible to develop AI soon. So, there is an economic pressure towards inflating estimates of the chance AI will be developed soon."
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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25. srp |
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"While the future may be uncertain, massive technological unemployment seems unlikely. The OECD estimates that 14% of jobs are at high risk of automation – significantly fewer than some researchers have argued." twitter.com/robinhanson/st…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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26. ruj |
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"Where a computer might be stuck in an endless loop, iterating over infinite explanations, we use our value systems to quickly infer which explanations are both valid and likely." quillette.com/2019/09/25/the…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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30. ruj |
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If AI takes away all of our menial tasks, only the hard stuff is left. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
As AI gets better at performing routine tasks traditionally done by humans, only stressful ones will be left. The work experience could suffer.
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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3. lis |
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Embodied cognition. twitter.com/chubicki/statu…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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17. lis |
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"In terms of this z-score, and averaging over 832 kinds of jobs, automation has only increased ~0.1 standard deviation over the last 20 years." twitter.com/robinhanson/st…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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29. lis |
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Might autonomous driving be AI-complete? twitter.com/robinhanson/st…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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23. stu |
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Alphabet's rebooted robotics program starts with trash-sorting machines engadget.com/2019/11/22/alp…
"The robots were able to learn the task through practice rather than having to have each part of the task hand coded."
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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25. stu |
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DeepMind’s MuZero teaches itself how to win at Atari, chess, shogi, and Go venturebeat.com/2019/11/20/dee…
MuZero means AI systems can learn the rules of games themselves.
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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4. pro |
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Will we ever have fully autonomous vehicles? Some reasons for pessimism …ilosophicaldisquisitions.blogspot.com/2019/12/will-w…
> ...a combination of ethical, legal and strategic factors will encourage us not to make and market fully autonomous vehicles.
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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10. pro |
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Analysis of 1505 expert reports of job automation levels across 832 US job types, 1999-2019. No support for claims we are entering a trend-deviating revolution in levels of job automation, related job losses, or factors that predict job automation. overcomingbias.com/2019/12/automa…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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21. pro |
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Facebook has a neural network that can do advanced math technologyreview.com/s/614929/faceb…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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2. sij |
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"Japan hopes that robots and automation will help solve its impending labor shortage. But businesses are finding that some jobs are remarkably difficult to outsource to a machine." nytimes.com/2019/12/31/wor…
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Alexander Kruel
@XiXiDu
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22. sij |
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Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen' thedrive.com/tech/31816/key…
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