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Tim Harford
Just re-re-re-reading and "Superforecasting". Such a good book - and full of subtleties. Recommended.
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James Elder 25. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @TimHarford
I listened to it on audiobook last year and liked it a lot. The only thing that has aged badly is the use of Michael Flynn as a case study!
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Dan Gardner 26. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @jamesofputney @TimHarford
Why? At the time, he had a stellar reputation and we criticized his analysis as poorly informed and extreme. I would have thought that looks rather good in hindsight...
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Jeremiah McGuire 25. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @TimHarford @PTetlock @dgardner
Since you’ve re-re-re- read it :) I’ll recommend Tetlock’s Expert Political Judgment, which is a heavier lift but a tour de force
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Dan Gardner 25. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @jeremiahfm @TimHarford @PTetlock
Indeed. And the gold standard of an academic subjecting his own work to withering criticism and seeing if it stands up.
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ARTHUR JM CHARTIER 26. sij
Odgovor korisniku/ci @TimHarford @PTetlock @dgardner
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