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Silvia Merler
📊 France, Spain and Germany are about 9 to 10 days behind Italy in progression; the UK and the US follow at 13 to 16 days. In Italy we waited too long, these countries should really start implementing aggressive containment measures now.
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Luca Carra Mar 11
Replying to @SMerler
C'è ragione per essere molto preoccupati e di applicare le misure più restrittive, come mi ha ben spiegato Walter Ricciardi in questa intervista, che ha avuto una certa eco:
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Silvia Merler Mar 11
Replying to @lucacarra50
Grazie
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Silvia Merler Mar 10
Replying to @Richard_Carroll
CH is Switzerland; CHN is China
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gaia cesare Mar 11
Replying to @SMerler
What source?
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Silvia Merler Mar 11
Replying to @gaiacesare
Miei calcoli basati sui dati del dashboard di Johns Hopkins. Lo sto scrivendo adesso in forma di blog, entro stasera dovrei riuscire a mettere online
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Garreth McDaid Mar 10
Replying to @SMerler @gmcrotty
You can't apply the same growth rate at different stages in the cycle. Info and fear are the key components in reducing the growth constant. They are in greater supply now than 2 weeks ago. Exponential growth will continue for several weeks, but inflection will be reached sooner.
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Michele Mar 11
You can perfectly compare the growth rate at different stages. It’s not prediction, it’s comparison of data inside a mathematical model. Day by day that model can tell us if countermeasures and others factors help to change the course of the spreading.
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Alessandro Merli Mar 10
Replying to @SMerler
Boris Johnson: We'll take it on the chin. Donald Trump: Stay calm. We are doing a tremendous job.
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Chris K Mar 11
I get the feeling we are seeing the beginning of the end of populism. All of a sudden the views of experts have become important again, and the shallowness and irrelevance of the likes of Trump and Johnson is increasingly apparent, perhaps even to their own fan base.
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