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Robert Graboyes
/ The Roaring 20s died with the 29 crash and ensuing Depression. Privation forged a self-sacrificing, steely generation—to the dismay of Hitler, Mussolini & Tojo. COVID has likely ended the pre-2020 world. Here are my 32 bets on how—to be checked in a year or five. 0|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
FEWER HEALTH REGS/ COVID has sparked a realization that government micromanagement of healthcare is lethal. Lawmakers are jettisoning regulations with astonishing speed, trying to unparalyze delivery systems. , patients and providers will face fewer limits on care. 1|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
MORE FEDERALISM/ States are painfully learning that they, not distant federal officials, are best situated to plan for disasters & manage responses. , states will distrust federal largesse and competence and take greater control of their own affairs. 2|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
GERMOPHOBIA!/ 85 years after the stock market crash destroyed my grandparents’ finances, my mother still didn’t trust stock markets or banks. folk will retain a whiff of germophobia for the rest of their lives. 3|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
FEWER ZOMBIES/ 1910s amusement parks showcased disaster spectacles—fires, floods, battles. After WWI and Spanish flu, no one wanted to pay for fear. , zombie & contagion films will be bitter reminders & more pastoral offerings will be in vogue. 4|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
CLOSER TRAVEL/ The world will be rife with memories of passengers imprisoned on virus-laden cruise ships and world jet-setters desperate for a plane home. Future vacationers will veer toward nearby beaches and mountains, if not homebound staycations. 5|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
BYE-BYE METROPOLIS/ In NYC, social distancing is difficult for all but shut-ins & plutocrats. Every surface is germ-laden. Seattle, New Orleans, Detroit, Chicago, Atlanta, LA, & SF are hot zones. , smaller, greener places will provide much more alluring homes. 6|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
MORE TELEMEDICINE/ With social distancing, telemedicine is suddenly the smart way to get care outside of doctors' offices, which are time-consuming petri dishes. , laptop, tablet, or smartphone will become the routine first stop for care. 7|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
DISTANCE LEARNING RULES/ I got a high-quality master's degree via distance learning & taught 45 DL graduate courses at 4 universities. Quarantine will show that DL teaching/learning is often superior to in-class & far more convenient. More will study this way . 8|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
RISE OF HOME SCHOOLING/ Bricks-and-mortar schools are often inconvenient, disease-ridden indoctrination mills, rife with behavioral problems. My home-schooled college students were impressive and mature. , home-schooling (and tiny schools) will gain in popularity. 9|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
TELECOMMUTING/ I've never written so much or had so many good meetings as during the COVID quarantine. Telecommuting means less time wasted on the road, chatting by the coffee machine, heading out for lunch, paying for floor space. , lots more will telecommute. 10|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
STAGGERED WORK HOURS/ During the 1918-20 Spanish flu, NYC businesses staggered work hours to reduce rush-hour congestion on roads and subways. This lowered death rates and congestion annoyance. , this idea will gain traction. 11|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
FEWER BOONDOGGLES/ COVID’s economic devastation will leave limited money and less tolerance for dewy-eyed public spending--Solyndra, bullet trains, etc. Public spending will shift toward projects with shorter horizons and tangible benefits. 12|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
MORE CONFERENCES BY VIDEO/ I've often spent 3 days on the road to give a one-hour lecture on the middle day. Travel is nice, as are drinks with conferees. But it’s a hugely expensive way to interact. , videoconferences will replace a lot of junkets. 13|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
MORE VIDEO CALLS/ As the quarantine wears on, more of my routine calls involve video, rather than audio-only. A bit of humanity in a lonely time. , Skype, FaceTime, &c will grow more important as telecommuting and videos replace offices and conferences. 14|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
DELIVERY SYSTEM>PAYMENTS/ We'll see how the US healthcare fares vs others, but single-payer systems like China, Iran, Italy, and Spain aren't shining. An insurance card is little consolation when you need an ICU. , delivery will surpass insurance in policy debate. 15|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
EUROPEAN DISUNION/ 19thC EU precursors (Latin & Scandinavian Monetary Unions) broke up after members exploited one another during crisis. Richer EU countries have largely abandoned Italy & Spain during COVID. , more countries will follow the UK in exiting. 16|32
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
(tweetstorm to be continued in a separate thread)
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Robert Graboyes Apr 3
Replying to @Robert_Graboyes
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