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Dave Wasserman
U.S. House editor of the nonpartisan Report & contributor. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, 📈 data, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.
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Dave Wasserman 2h
Replying to @Redistrict
And before you go saying "there are four times as many people in Chester than Fayette!"...there are a lot more PA voters who live in places like Fayette than Chester.
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Dave Wasserman 2h
Not making this up: so far in 2020, party registration switches in Chester Co., PA (median income $96k) have run 83% pro-D. In Fayette Co., PA (median income $44k), they've run 82% pro-R.
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Dave Wasserman 2h
Replying to @Redistrict
If you're having a hard time wrapping your head around this concept, a good example is Fayette Co. in southwestern PA: In Nov. '16, its voter registration was 58% D, 33% R. It voted 64%-33% for Trump. Today, its voter registration has narrowed to 51% D, 39% R.
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Dave Wasserman 2h
Replying to @Redistrict
In other words, it's possible - even likely - that the universe of voters *exiting* the PA electorate is both: 1) more heavily Dem in party registration 2) more heavily pro-Trump ...than the universe of voters entering.
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Dave Wasserman 2h
Replying to @tbonier
So, what's going on in PA? Likely a continuation of long-term trend of Trump-voting registered Ds dying out or formally switching to R. Per , total *new* registrations since Nov. '16: +415k D +282k R +226k Other
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Dave Wasserman 2h
Net PA voter registration change, Nov. '15-Nov. '16: +321k R +244k D +85k Other Net change, Nov. '19-now: +72k R +42k D -2k Other
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Dave Wasserman 3h
It’s almost as if Dems’ anti-McConnell fervor is better channeled through non-KY Senate races.
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Dave Wasserman 12h
ICYMI, NYC's election board dropped 32k ballots off to be mailed to voters *one day* before the primary. At current funding levels, we're on pace for many more stories like this in November.
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Dave Wasserman 12h
A microcosm of the legal drama we're headed for this fall.
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Dave Wasserman 12h
p.s. Fun fact about my time at the Crystal Ball (swear I've never told or this): My writing process was to hit up Raising Cane's (which was new to Cville then!), bring it back to the office, and write my articles between like 10pm-3am. No joke.
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Dave Wasserman 13h
Replying to @ChazNuttycombe
As the only person who has ever worked for both Sabato's Crystal Ball and The Cook Political Report, I'll take it.
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Dave Wasserman 21h
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
And FWIW, Biden still being unsure what to do at this stage doesn't mean the process is "off" or "unusual." Most recent nominees probably hadn't fully made up their minds at this stage.
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Dave Wasserman Aug 3
A million potentially valid theories as to what’s going on but I’ll throw out one: Biden initially wanted Klobuchar, but that ship sailed a long time ago and he’s still not sure what to do.
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Dave Wasserman retweeted
amy walter Aug 2
News orgs MUST prepare themselves and viewers for realities of election night. One easy step: have Sec of States give estimate of absentee vote and explain how the counting works in their state. Transparency is going to be everything!
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Dave Wasserman Aug 2
Replying to @ElectProject
Except CO is no longer a battleground state
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Dave Wasserman retweeted
John Bresnahan Jul 31
Rep. Sanford Bishop allegedly misused more than $90,000 in campaign and official funds.
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Dave Wasserman Jul 31
Except has really low college attainment and is the most college-educated district of any seat still held by an R.
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Dave Wasserman Jul 31
Replying to @Redistrict
The truth is that Schweikert has been in ethics hot water for years, but he still won by 10% in 2018 b/c Dems almost entirely failed to run paid communication against him.
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Dave Wasserman Jul 31
Tbh I’m a bit surprised Dems aren’t on the air to try to define Schweikert early, before the PHX market gets 110% saturated with election ads.
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Dave Wasserman Jul 31
It could use an overhaul to say the least.
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