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Dave Wasserman
U.S. House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report & player of fiddles/Scrabble/Excel spreadsheets More:
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Dave Wasserman retweeted
Reid Wilson Feb 12
A contested convention would be a huge opportunity that rival candidates would immediately squander:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
That's not my understanding...
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
If Trump maintains large SC lead thru 2/20, odds very good he'd win all 50 SC delegates, putting him at 114% of his benchmark for 1,237.
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Dave Wasserman retweeted
Ariel Edwards-Levy Feb 12
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
[new article] Hillary Clinton's path: win the voters she lost in 2008
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
Sanders won exactly the 15 delegates estimated he needed in NH, but fell 7 short of IA target of 28:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
Today's standings in the Dem delegate chase, per our targets:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
Today's standings in the GOP delegate chase, per our targets:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
Dems: Clinton leads w/ 128% of her delegate target, Sanders 84%. Clinton "on track" for nomination:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
However, no R on pace for 1,237 delegates. Longer this persists, higher the odds of contested conv.:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
New Delegate Scorecard: Trump leads GOP race at 81% of his delegate goal, Cruz 69%, Rubio 50%:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 12
How Valuable is Your Primary Vote? Check out this awesome new calculator by :
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Dave Wasserman retweeted
amy walter Feb 11
An excellent look at NH & road ahead from the Dean of Politics Mr.
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Dave Wasserman Feb 10
In NH towns w/ median income over $100k, Hillary took 45.1%. In $50k-$100k towns, she took 38.2%. In towns less than $50k, just 31.7%.
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Dave Wasserman Feb 10
This scoop on GOP automatic delegates is a big deal. The fewer unbound party officials, the better for Trump:
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Dave Wasserman Feb 10
Amazing - Rubio just stole a NH delegate from Trump b/c of a weird rounding rule. 10.6% rounds to 11% = 2.53 delegates = 3 delegates. Wow.
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Dave Wasserman retweeted
Josh Putnam Feb 10
Rubio got a 3rd NH delegate bc NH rounds the percentage of the vote 1st and then calculates the delegate share from that.
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Dave Wasserman Feb 10
Do you know why Rubio ends up w/ 3 and not 2? 10.6% x 23 delegates = 2.43, rounds down, right?
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Dave Wasserman Feb 10
Rubio's new imperative: finish ahead of Bush & Kasich in SC & NV. Otherwise, in danger of missing 15%-20% delegate thresholds on 3/1.
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Dave Wasserman Feb 10
"Rubio was big loser last night, but still has most realistic path forward of the establishment pack," argues at
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