Twitter | Search | |
Patrick Ruffini 8 Apr 17
What would a good midterm election look like for Democrats? I've been looking at partisan turnout in 2006...
Reply Retweet Like
Patrick Ruffini 8 Apr 17
Replying to @PatrickRuffini
Here's Pennsylvania turnout by party from 2004 to 2016. 2006 looked like a Presidential year. 2010 & 2014 look different.
Reply Retweet Like
Patrick Ruffini 8 Apr 17
Replying to @PatrickRuffini
Dem share of two party turnout in Pennsylvania: 2004 51.1% 2008 51.6% 2012 50.9% 2016 50.6% 2006 50.9% 2010 48.9% 2014 49.0%
Reply Retweet Like
Patrick Ruffini 8 Apr 17
Replying to @PatrickRuffini
(I've limited this to voters registered in 2004, to get an apples to apples comparison of these electorates.)
Reply Retweet Like
Patrick Ruffini
Here are partisan turnout rates in 2006 by turnout score. GOP lower than Dems across the board, especially among .75-.80 & .50 & below.
Reply Retweet Like More
Patrick Ruffini 8 Apr 17
Replying to @PatrickRuffini
In PA, 2006 was a net of 4% better for Dems than 2010/14. But this was a side effect of huge persuasion effects. Santorum lost by 20 in '06.
Reply Retweet Like
Patrick Ruffini 8 Apr 17
Replying to @PatrickRuffini
At least in PA, 2006 turnout was 4% better for Dems than 2010. But nationally, there was a 15% swing in House popular vote, from D+8 to R+7.
Reply Retweet Like