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@PTetlock | |||||
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"Superforecasters" are better at tuning in signals—& tuning out noise. It’s not the millions of words had no effect. They had lots of effects, mostly tiny offsetting ones
@ezraklein pic.twitter.com/7ugPxaFKLJ
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Pradyumna Prasad
@PradyuPrasad
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19. pro |
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How do you know how much to update for every new news piece? That is the part of superforecasting I didn't get
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Anthony Cutler
@anthonyncutler
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20. pro |
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Beware polls that don't react to events ...
wordpress.com/post/anthonycu…
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L Steven Goldblatt
@LSGoldblatt
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21. pro |
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How can one have absolute confidence
anything will happen other than
Legarde and IMF and now ECB.
Better practice between 30 and 70
except the Coast Starlite will make
it between Seattle and LA
cheers
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