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OddStats
Hey bears, you want some really bad news? 2018 is now the 40th year since 1950 that was up at least +3.9% YTD on August 31. ALL 39 PREVIOUS YEARS WERE POSITIVE FOR THE ENTIRE YEAR. ONLY 6 OF THE 39 FINISHED LOWER THAN WHERE IT WAS AUGUST 31ST.
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OddStats Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats
is up +8.5% YTD on August 31. There have been 18 years since 1950 where was up between 5.0%-13.5% on August 31st. 17 of 18 saw a higher close on December 31 than August 31.
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𝒫𝑒𝓉𝑒𝓇 𝒯𝓇𝒢𝒹𝑒𝓇 πŸ΅πŸ’ Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats
Do you know what happened on one year not higher close?
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OddStats Aug 31
Replying to @PeterTrader99
1978 Up +8.6% on August 31 Up +1.1% on December 31
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Premature Accumulation Pajama Microscalper Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats
What would be great is to see some valuation metrics for the 6 that closed down compared to those that closed up (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, etc)
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𝒫𝑒𝓉𝑒𝓇 𝒯𝓇𝒢𝒹𝑒𝓇 πŸ΅πŸ’ Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats
Still ended the year green. Haha
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OddStats Aug 31
Replying to @PeterTrader99
The S&P 500 has NEVER (since 1950 anyway) been up at least 3.9% on August 31st and NOT finished the year green. 39 of 39.
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𝒫𝑒𝓉𝑒𝓇 𝒯𝓇𝒢𝒹𝑒𝓇 πŸ΅πŸ’ Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats
And 2018 will end making 40 of 40.
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Chris Kochiya Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats @OptionsHawk
Agreed. We are still in a Bull Market. In 2 months, we'll have the Halloween Effect (Bullish), followed by the Christmas Rally. After the Christmas Rally, who knows...
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AK47 Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats @anilvohra69
In 2000, it was up 3.3% thru August but finished the year down 10%. This year has matched 2000 patterns all year long. Here's another stat: SPX has never in history been up 10 yrs in a row. It needs to fall at least 9% from here to avoid breaking this record.
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AK47 Aug 31
Replying to @OddStats @anilvohra69
And by the way, 1987 and 1929 were both up big through August.
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EMS Sales Sep 1
Replying to @OddStats
How many of the previous 39 instances had a Fed that was QTing after 8 years of QEing?
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