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Nate Cohn 24 Apr 18
Regardless of the exact outcome though, this is just another terrible special election result for the Republicans. Zero excuse, given the permanent absentee list. And you're feeling great if you're, say, the Democratic candidate for Senate in Arizona
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Nate Cohn 24 Apr 18
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
It probably won't get covered this way, but this is arguably the worst special congressional election result yet for the GOP
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Nate Cohn
There just aren't any excuses. The Republican wasn't Roy Moore. The Democrat wasn't Conor Lamb. The turnout wasn't low. The district doesn't have, say, a latent Democratic tradition. It oddly has the effect of making all the prior excuses seem less relevant, too.
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Schmitty 24 Apr 18
Replying to @Nate_Cohn @UpshotNYT
The last time an incumbent party didn’t lose seats in a midterm was 2002. Midterms are usually brutal to the incumbent party after winning a Presidential election. Who is surprised by this?
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Reji Nath 24 Apr 18
Replying to @Schmitty_94
This is a valid point if the average swing to Dems were in low single digits. The current avarage D swing is 17 points.
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Steffen Christensen 24 Apr 18
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Yet worse than that, the GOP tried hard, spending $1M+ vs the Dem's 175k.
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Sara Straw 🌐 25 Apr 18
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Maybe it's Trump being the most loathed president since WWII, and Congress doing nothing to check him.
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ€·πŸΌβ€β™‚οΈ 24 Apr 18
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Can we just skip over to November?
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Alissa McLean 24 Apr 18
Replying to @darinlabron @Nate_Cohn
I’m so ready for that. And yet we all know that there will be an endless river of awful between now and then.
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Bruno #TeamPete2020 #Resistance πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆ 24 Apr 18
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Registered voters in : 455k Early mail-in voters to date: 156K Forecast turnout on election day: 20k
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Gayle Logan 25 Apr 18
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
140000 voters were NOT sent their voter ID's. County claimed they had a printing issue. How many didn't think that they could still vote?
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