Twitter | Search | |
Nate Cohn
That said, for most of the last month, we've focused more on the outcome where the GOP keeps it really close. Up until 96 hours ago, I would say our polls were 100% consistent with that possibility. That could still happen, and it's still consistent with our polling in totality
Reply Retweet Like More
Nate Cohn Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
But it would be a stretch for me to argue that it's consistent with our final polls. Our final polls could be off, to be fair. And I hope watching it live helps you understand why. But I can't fairly represent these final polls as anything other than very good for Dems
Reply Retweet Like
Colin Patrick Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Just curious, maybe I am misunderstanding your process, how do you control for the bias that you get from calling people via telephone? I can't imagine you get many millennial or middle-aged respondents via telephone?
Reply Retweet Like
Resisting in Newport Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Thanks....we will take it.
Reply Retweet Like
Uhhh A Smoking Skeleton Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
If you're thinking about sending yet another hedging tweet where you just *have to* explain how Republicans could win..... don't. It's tired. So very, very tired.
Reply Retweet Like
Nate Cohn Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
The bottom-line, though, is that there are so many close race that it wouldn't take much of a nudge, either way, for thinks to look *very* different from the conventional wisdom of say D+35
Reply Retweet Like
紫色 Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
It really feels like 2014, where everything just fell apart for the White House’s party in the final week.
Reply Retweet Like
ByWatterson Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Reply Retweet Like
Connie C. Keys Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Oh ffs. Stop hedging.
Reply Retweet Like
James Schwartz Nov 5
Agree.
Reply Retweet Like
James Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
That was labored.
Reply Retweet Like
John Boyno Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Does your model allow you to run sensitivity analyses? They would be informative.
Reply Retweet Like
JP Lavin Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
No doubt. Anything is possible. But it seems that Rs are maxed out on the uneducated whites. And Ds are not maxed out on educated suburbanites. Especially women who voted R in the past. IMO there's a likely chance that momentum of D+3 grows vs stalls or retreats by tomorrow.
Reply Retweet Like
brad newman Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Like rain, apparently...
Reply Retweet Like
ByWatterson Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Gimme the needles!!!
Reply Retweet Like
unchartered financial analyst Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Ah yes, let the hedging after conducting fraudulent poll after poll begin. Pollsters were wrong in 2016 you will be wrong again in 2018. But hey you can always blame it on...racism or whatever you want to come up with for the day
Reply Retweet Like
What The Faulkner Nov 5
Which is why the proportion of states and locales still using non-verifiable electronic voting machines is so troubling. And then on Wednesday, “all the polls were wrong!” We are being lied to.
Reply Retweet Like
JPCToronto Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Shudder
Reply Retweet Like
dawnsokol Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
The message should be just vote and make yours count!
Reply Retweet Like
richard Nov 5
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
The nudge is coming from Trump ...he's nudging voters over to the Dems
Reply Retweet Like