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Nate Silver
French pollsters have always had some trouble with the Le Pens, but FWIW they've sometimes missed high instead of low.
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Sean Driscoll 17 Apr 17
Replying to @NateSilver538
Perhaps they should use Le Pencils, then. (... I'm very sorry.)
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Federico Gavazzoni 17 Apr 17
There is no message whatsoever coming out of that history, other than polls are just polls.
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Francois Gourio 17 Apr 17
there's a SD of 4%. isn't that an interesting message?!
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Aaron Montgomery 17 Apr 17
Replying to @NateSilver538
That's not even a particularly notable amount of "trouble" for polls though, right?
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Adrijan Mirsad 17 Apr 17
Replying to @NateSilver538
THe polls at 2002 rocketed the FN to joint second days before the election. It was a surprise but the pollsters did see the surge.
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rc reed 17 Apr 17
Replying to @NateSilver538
"Les Pen"
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Jhon Sellers 20 Apr 17
wouldn't it be les le pen?
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JCC 17 Apr 17
Replying to @NateSilver538
they're trying to scare ppl into an "useful" vote for Macron..all the pollsters belong to ppl who support Macron.. 1/2
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JCC 17 Apr 17
Replying to @NateSilver538
But I think LePen is actually higher(ppl less&less scared of her)..and now they're trying to scare ppl with communist Melenchon 2/2
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