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Nate Dunlevy
I used to like football. Author: Blue Blood, & Invincible, Indiana. Member PFWA. Husband of author
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Nate Dunlevy 16h
Replying to @Parksutt
Yup. That how it works, I’m told.
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Nate Dunlevy 16h
We read from the same script: the numbers. People are too critical of picks and not nearly critical enough of sacks. Now you understand why I’m lower on Brissett than some.
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Scott Kacsmar 17h
Which stat do people tend to criticize QBs the most for? Interceptions. Which stat has the least correlation year to year? INT% Which stat do people tend to give a QB a pass for the most? Sacks/pressure (Blame the OL) Which stat is very consistent year to year? Sacks/pressure.
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Deborah Dunlevy 21h
“I like systems more than most people. But maps are no substitute for the world. Laws are no substitute for justice. Theology is no substitute for God. Plans are no substitute for life.”
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Luke Dunlevy Sep 19
Coaching matters (also lolol).
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Start here. It will help.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Ok. Well years of data say that’s not really a factor in winning football games over the long haul. We have fundamentally different understandings of how the game works. I am a data guy. The old narratives mean nothing.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Or they played a team that had a horrible run-based game plan and a QB who can’t throw downfield effectively.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
Stopping the run has almost no correlation with winning football in the NFL. It just doesn’t. That’s a statistical reality. Teams run because they win. They don’t win because they run.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
No. They aren’t. Not by a long shot. That’s something they say on TV, but it doesn’t work the way you think. The pro game isn’t HS or college. The media has been lying to you about what wins games.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
Guards really just don’t matter that much. Third round pick is plenty high enough to get quality players. Use top picks for impact positions.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
It doesn’t make much difference who the starting left guard is. That’s the whole point. A great guard doesn’t impact an offense much more than an average guard does. The difference to an offense is negligible. Esp in a quick-pass scheme.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
They then blew a couple picks on low-impact guards and the 2017 class has been a borderline disaster. So yeah. It’s been a rocky start.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
You can turn over a roster faster than that. They wasted a year not implementing new schemes and wasting carries on Frank Gore. Rebuilds go fast in NFL. They don’t take long.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
Well, I haven’t examined depth charts recently, but generally speaking there are about 3 to 4 teams a year that manage to overcome serious injuries.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
Most successful rebuilds are already playoff ready by year two. It only takes two years. The problem is they wasted year one. Year two is going fine.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @earlgreytb @Reed_NFL
Indy used to do it on a regular basis, actually.
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Nate Dunlevy Sep 19
Replying to @RizayW
Yup. The difference between him and another guard is negligible. Those run plays don’t move the needle at all for me. That’s not what wins in the month run.
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Scott Kacsmar Sep 18
Andrew Luck has played 78 games. His two games this year rank in his bottom 5 in air yards per attempt. It's starting to look like a plan.
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Robert Itoh Sep 19
Replying to @NateDunlevy
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