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Joe Peta
Author, Tour Guide Presents: A 2019 Masters Preview. Prior: Trading Bases, A Story About Wall Street, Gambling and Baseball. Writer, ESPN Chalk.
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Joe Peta 22h
I’m much more interested in finding out who the clown was who gave JJ Putz and Brad Penny each a HofF vote than the voter who left Jeter off their ballot.
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Joe Peta Jan 12
Replying to @afleisch_says
Sadly, no. A new role in my "other professional" life made research and writing impossible this year.
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Joe Peta Jan 8
Replying to @katiebakes
This is a brilliantly written piece. I read it three times in a row to appreciate how well-crafted it is.
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Joe Peta Jan 4
Replying to @EmmyChance1
Right, it had a non-zero value but not a standard, first-and-10 own 45.
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Joe Peta Jan 4
But at best they are 0 at end of first half. If they’re -1 they can never do better than 0. I have a response elsewhere where I get the 2 discreet halves logic but it only holds if last possession of a half is random. Would love more data.
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Joe Peta Jan 4
Replying to @EmmyChance1
Yeah, if having the last possession in a half is random you’re right. I’d like to see some stats on possessions, filtering out 1H kneel downs. Is it 25/25/50% for +1/-1/0 possessions for deferring team?
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Joe Peta Jan 4
This is an interesting narrative but man, it has a whiff of “false narratives insiders tell”. Love to see drive stats to confirm effectiveness of opening 2H drives. Is it worth more than the chance of an extra 1H possession?
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Joe Peta Jan 4
Replying to @SwedishLarry1
The goal is to have more possessions. You’d always rather start +1.
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Joe Peta Jan 4
Replying to @BobFuton
Didn’t use guaranteed. Said “most likely” and that’s easy. You’re getting it first. Otherwise you’re playing from behind in the possession game. Sort of like 2-1 in basketball.
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Joe Peta Jan 4
Q for my football analytics people: The scarce resource in football is possessions. The most likely way to get more possessions than your opponent is to receive the opening kickoff. An extra possession out of, what, 20, is a huge advantage. Why is everyone’s default to defer?
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @MagicRatSF
I’ve been obsessively watching sports for 50 years, but I’m not sure a sporting event has ever provided me with as much fun as I did that Saturday last April. May we all have something, large or small in 2020, that make us that happy.
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @chambleebrandel
There Brandel Chamblee excitedly told viewers, “Peta said this was what would happen and,” Chamblee added, while tapping the leg of his bewildered on-set colleague David Duval, “he did it while comparing Finau to YOU in his book!”
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @MagicRatSF
So, you can imagine the thrill 72 hours later when Tony Finau walked off the 18th green after his 3rd round leading the Masters and virtually guaranteed to be in Sunday’s final pairing. It got better a few hours later during the Golf Channel’s, Live From Augusta.
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @FlemmingDave
With Finau’s odds at 35-1 (and back-sliding) as I sat down to breakfast with Dave () I felt like the credibility of my golf endeavor was on the line.
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @tonyfinaugolf
Over the next three months, I appeared in dozens of TV, print, radio and podcast venues defending the pick, often to skeptical hosts. (On a high-profile ESPN broadcast, the prediction was met with a “Oooh. I didn’t see that coming” from the host.)
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @tonyfinaugolf
I gulped and nodded knowingly, for that perfectly summed things up from my perspective. In January, I’d written a data-centric golf book previewing the Masters that ended with a projection of winning the tournament.
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @MagicRatSF
1. Tony Finau at the Masters On the eve of the Masters, I had breakfast with Dave Flemming, who you may know as the radio voice of the SF Giants or from ESPN NCAA broadcasts. The first thing he said to me was, “I’m so nervous for Tony Finau, I feel like a member of his family.”
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Joe Peta Dec 29
And nothing in 2019, whether on Rotten Tomatoes, or from Pulitzer-winners and was as authentic, earnest or BETTER, than this review from a man listening to Free Bird for the first time in his life.
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @MagicRatSF
2. A review of Lynyrd Skynyrd’s Free Bird I’m not sure I’ll ever be able to adequately describe, even to myself, why this video makes me so deliriously happy. But I do know that over the course of a year, I end up consuming a lot of reviews from a variety of sources.
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Joe Peta Dec 29
Replying to @MagicRatSF
In this era of prestige TV, there are a number of works you could give a 10/10 ranking to, but I don’t think any of them pulled of the degree-of-difficulty plot that Season 2 of Fleabag did.
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