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Michael Levitt
People ask me to explain why COVID19 never grows exponentially (). This a common phenomenon shown by the raw data in many locations. I suspect COVID19 cannot grow exponentially is because an infected individual has a hard time finding people to infect.
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Michael Levitt Jun 1
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
This is either or both because others have already been infected by an asymptomatic person who is infectious or else the chosen target is already immune due to coronavirus cross-reactivity. COVID19 growth rate drops exponentially.
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Sebastián Miralles Jun 1
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
Yes. Infection occurs in social clusters that need a viable vector to transmit to the next social cluster. The most vulnerable clusters are the first infected. W time less and less likely to find viable vector to infect next cluster. Best modelled in graph theory not exp curves
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Niko Canner Jun 20
Interested in your point about graph theory models. Is there a point of reference for a nonspecialist, math literate but not at your level, to understand the implications more deeply? Doesn’t need to be public health field....
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Steven with a V Jun 1
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
Fascinating. This stuff gets away from me very quickly but you explained it succinctly and clearly. Is this the latest video or are their more based on the questions you asked in the conclusion?
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Doug Jun 1
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
To my understanding it’s why schools were shut.. not because of the danger to kids, but they have the biggest social circles and likely to spread it more
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veteprotein Jun 1
Actually 20-somethings have the biggest social circles.
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plaforscience Jun 1
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
Linear tendencies are unaware of any human measures, from the softest to the toughest in Europe comparable countries.
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Jaspreet S Photography Jun 1
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
have you checked Data from India ?
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Θ0 🇺🇸🗽 Jun 1
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
Everyone should watch this 3-part video series (plus anymore forthcoming). Everyone.
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