Joost van der Leij 26 Jul 19
Replying to @nntaleb
To be clear: if Nate Silver was forced to offer bets on his probabilities of Clinton or Trump win, we would have been able to make a sure bet. At one time we bought Clinton for an implied odd of 2.1 and Trump for 10. Clinton win = 10% profit. Trump win = 800% profit.