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Robert Jun 10
Replying to @ISABELNET_SA
Wished they showed the date of that peak. We just had a 20% drawdown on the S&P, right(Sep-Dec)? That indicator could have been peaking just prior to that, no?
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eychenne Jun 12
Equity yarrow: overshoot in 3 layers Price = (Price / profit) * (profit / GDP) * (GDP / potential GDP) Price / profit ... high Profit / GDP ... high GDP / potential GDP... high
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John P. Hussman Jun 15
Nicely done. On when overvaluation collapses, I’d answer that it’s dependent on the psychological inclination of investors toward speculation or risk aversion (which we read out of market internals). When internals get ragged, previously resilient advances become vulnerable.
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