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INSS
INSS launches and engages in innovative, relevant, high-quality research that shapes the public discourse of issues on Israel's national security agenda.
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INSS May 21
May 2019 marks 7 decades of - relations. INSS will mark this milestone with a conference w/ the participation of UN Special Coordinator for the ME Peace Process & former Israeli ambassadors to the UN. Register now>
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Amos Yadlin May 22
Replying to @jdgreenblatt45
And todayvaluable and wide-ranging dialogue with , on Arab-Israeli relations & the central role of the U.S., following his remarks, for which I thanked him, he brought truth to a forum where false narratives are all too common.
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Amos Yadlin May 22
And to NYC - I’m Grateful to Amb Jim Jeffrey & for joining me at annual mtg in NYC, hosted by our Chair Frank Lowy, our discussions of Syria, the Iran crisis & Arab-Israeli peacemaking were wide-ranging and deep.
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Amos Yadlin May 22
Starting my week in the 🇺🇸 with a briefing to MIT leadership. Here with MIT president Rafael Reif.
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INSS May 22
In the first years after the outbreak of the , the common assessment was that the Hashemite Kingdom was able to cope with the challenges it confronted, is it so? Read the latest >>
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INSS May 22
Itai Brun & on the : "it exposes a gap in the nation’s conceptual, organizational, legal, and technological preparedness to confront the possibilities that the digital space provides to undermine the democratic process."
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INSS May 21
May 2019 marks 7 decades of - relations. INSS will mark this milestone with a conference w/ the participation of UN Special Coordinator for the ME Peace Process & former Israeli ambassadors to the UN. Register now>
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
5. Iran leaves the agreement and returns to full scale nuclear program (in extreme case leaves NPT) Whatever happens in this scenario, the ball will soon be back in 🇺🇸&🇮🇱 court. Are we ready? 11/11 and last
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
5 Scenarios should be analyzed : 1. Conflict below the threshold of escalation – the Iranians wait for a Dem to be elected in 2020 2. Uncontrolled escalation 3. Return to negotiations -> better deal 4.Return to negotiations (Kim Jong Un model) -> problematic deal 10/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
But more important still is the question: Do Trump and Netanyahu fully understand the strategic end game they are trying to achieve through maximum pressure, as well as the policy’s risks? 9/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
The Israeli perspective: Because Iran’s escalatory steps thus far have been against an American allies it is also possible that there will be an escalation against Israel (via Syria and Lebanon or terror abroad). 8/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
Khamenei also declares that there is no return to negotiations. But it is certainly possible that there will be – in the meantime Iran is working to build a strong hand for when that happens. 7/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
Trump understands that U.S. credibility is on the line here – what happens in Iran will be studied in Pyongyang and Beijing. However, both Trump and Khamenei have clarified in no uncertain terms that they don’t want war and there won’t be war. 6/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
both are signaling, but not taking responsibility and not interested in escalation. But it could also unfold as follows: During the Iran-Iraq war, in 1988, after a US frigate was damaged by an Iranian mine, the Americans launched a strike that sunk ½ of Iran’s naval power. 5/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
There’s also unconfirmed report of a cyber response against an Iranian oil installation in Tabriz. I am skeptical that such a response could be launched on such a short timeline. But this would point to an interesting logic behind the 2 sides’ actions: ... >>> 4/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
Raising oil prices will hurt Trump’s presidential campaign, and it will serve Iranian interests by allowing it to make more profit off of the reduced quantity that it is exporting, in particular following the end of US waivers. 3/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
Replying to @YadlinAmos
The Iranians are signaling that they are capable of hitting oil exports beyond Hormuz – and that if they cannot export because of sanctions, then the Saudis and Emiratis will pay a price as well. 2/11
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Amos Yadlin May 15
As I assess in my latest Insight, the Iranians are sending a violent but measured message without claiming responsibility. After the strike against 4 oil tankers, the Iranian-backed Houthis launched a strike to target Saudi oil infrastructure.1/11
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i24NEWS English May 13
The Iranians see the Europeans aren't caving to 's threats of leaving the nuclear deal, as they did in the past, so in the next phase, we may see Iran come back to the negotiating table, 's tells :
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i24NEWS English May 13
' is a very bad faith actor in the Middle East.' 's explains to how Iran has deceived and misled the Obama administration and Europeans on what the was intended to achieve:
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